Monday, August 15, 2022

Today's News: The battle for Kherson is heating up

Update from Ukraine: Sounds like Russia is crawling out of Kherson because they cannot continue to defend it or supply their troops: Markos has been predicting for weeks that all the Ukrainian talk about retaking Kherson has been designed to lure Russia into sending reinforcements to Kherson, who can ultimately be surrounded and captured as Ukraine destroys the bridges out of the area. Today Markos writes: 
Russia continues to flood forces into the Kherson area in response to Ukraine’s repeated declarations that it is just this close from launching its long-expected counter-offensive to retake its land. The whole situation continues to have the feel of a trap as Ukraine systematically eliminates ammunition depots and supply routes into the region. 
...Ukraine has also begun hitting the two bridges connecting Crimea with Kherson oblast. Cutting off Melitopol from the south will be critical to retaking that city. 
...Russia isn’t surrendering that territory without a fight, but … its generals may have lost their appetite for being on the wrong side of the Dnipro. 
Here's another comment summarizing Russia's overall battle weakness now: 
It’s been a while since we’ve discussed Russia’s inability to mass attacks, and it’s because they adopted, so some success, their “flatten everything with artillery then send some troops for ‘reconnaissance by fire’ to see if any defenses are left standing.” You don’t need to “combine” any “arms” to make that work. 
But as Russia pushes beyond its supply depots (with HIMARS compounding the problem), and its artillery becomes more exposed to Ukraine’s counter-battery fire, things are reverting to what we saw earlier in the war. And just like then, Russia’s inability to mass firepower into fewer lines of attack means they spread their combat power thin, helping defenses hold.
...Russia is exhausting itself to gain hundreds of meters in eastern Donbas... 
This, however, is NOT good news:

Sunday, August 14, 2022

Sunday funnies

One more tweet about the incident of Rob Ford vs The Bee: Today this happened: And here's a Queen of Canada that I can support!

Saturday, August 13, 2022

Today's News: #TRE45ON is trending tonight





Here's some cartoons I saw today about the Mar-A-Lago raid -- the warrant and document lists are out, and its bad for Trump. 
Very bad.
Once again I expect there will be a determined effort on the part of GOP leadership to throw Trump overboard, but Fox News and MAGA will not permit it. The only possibility for change now is absolute electoral defeat of Republicans in 2022, 2024, 2026 and 2028 -- with gerrymandering and corruption all the way up to the SCOTUS, I don't know if it is still possible: They have now figured out the new line -- that Trump had "declassified" all the documents before he took them out of the White House so, by definition, he's good! Yeah, sure.

Friday, August 12, 2022

Today's News: Going Nuclear

Ain't we havin' some fun now?  
So Garland threw down the gauntlet to Trump - put up or shut up. 
He told Trump he was applying to the court to release the search warrant and evidence list from Monday's raid, and dared Trump to oppose it - which I fully expect he will try to do somehow. Two days ago, I said this raid was either: 
-a major national security scandal about a trove of top-secret documents that Trump was trying to sell to Putin or the Saudis; OR 
 -a nothing-burger Got Junk? cleanup of old presidential souvenirs that the Trumps had been too lazy to box up themselves and get to the National Archives. 
On Tuesday, it seemed like the nothing-burger story might be credible, By Wednesday the GOP started realizing maybe it wasn't so they started smearing the FBI. 
Today, the seriousness of the national security scandal came into focus.
In his nightly newsletter, CNN's Brian Stelter provides a timeline of commentary from Garland's press conference at 3 pm. Up until 8 pm, it was business as usual for the GOP and their sycophant networks -- defund the FBI, Trump is just a memento guy, "This was just a fishing expedition." etc. 
Then at 8 pm, BOOM - the Washington Post broke the news that the FBI searched Mar-a-Lago for stolen nuclear documents. 
All of a sudden, the story changed - even though Fox News still tried to minimize it, the whole world took the story much more seriously:

Thursday, August 11, 2022

Today's News: Taking the Fifth

Tuesday the Mar-A-Lago raid story was all the news. 
Thanks, Donnie, for killing the Mar-A-Lago raid story in just one day! The attempt to minimize or trivialize the Mar-a-Lago raid -- an attempt that seemed to have some plausibility last night - couldn't actually withstand the cold light of day today. So today the GOP moved to Plan Two and we got a parade of "the FBI planted evidence!" accusations -- an even less plausible scenario, because of course the implicit sub-text is that damning evidence can be found in the boxes of stuff the FBI took away. Funnier takes:

Wednesday, August 10, 2022

Today's News: Less than meets the eye?

I think Trump Mar-A-Lago "raid" was either: 
-a major national security scandal about a trove of top-secret documents that Trump was trying to sell to Putin or the Saudis; OR 
 -a Got Junk? cleanup of old presidential souvenirs that the Trumps had been too lazy to box up themselves and get to the National Archives. 
Of course, it could be both. 
But the New York Times may be coming down on option 2: 
... the F.B.I. conducted the search on a day when Mr. Trump was out of town and the club was closed. The agents carried out the search in a relatively low-key manner, people with knowledge of the matter said; by some accounts they were not seen donning the conspicuous navy-blue jackets with the agency’s initials emblazoned on the back that are commonly worn when executing search warrants. 
... agents began going through a storage unit, where items like beach chairs and umbrellas are kept, in the basement. They progressed to his office, which was built for him on the second floor of the main house, where they cracked a hotel-style safe that was said by two people briefed on the search to contain nothing of consequence to the agents. 
 Then they moved to Mr. Trump’s residence, the person said. 
 Ultimately, they removed a number of boxes of documents, people familiar with the search said. It is not clear what the agents were looking for or what they took. Nor is it clear whether the search was carried out simply to ensure that the documents and other material were properly turned over to the archives or it was a possible precursor to a prosecution of Mr. Trump for mishandling classified material or obstructing efforts to get it back. 
Of course, back in 2016 the New York Times had been tricked into publishing what turned out to be the Rudy Giuliani / FBI New York Field Office "take" on the Russia story, a couple of weeks before 2016 - nothing to see here, move along, move along:
If the Trump raid is indeed a nothingburger, then the Department of Justice will have let everyone down AGAIN by not issuing a press release describing the file retrieval, rather than remaining silent and thus allowing Trump and his flying monkeys make Trump look like a persecuted hero. 
Cuomo got a lot of push-back for this tweet, but he is right: On a lighter side of the story, here are more funny takes:

Tuesday, August 09, 2022

Today's News: Girl!

Wouldn't you just love to be a fly on Hillary Clinton's wall tonight? Dark Brandon works pretty fast, doesn't he? Raw Story reports
Former FBI official Frank Figliuzzi walked MSNBC viewers through what the Miami Field Office had to do to execute today's search warrant on Mar-a-Lago... .
...the New York Times and CNN have sources confirming that the raid focused on the National Archives documents. Figiluzzi also confirmed it with as much certainty as he could....
"I have a medium to high degree of certainty that this at least is focused in part on national archives case...
The time to negotiate and turn everything over is long gone, and now we've reached the point where agents are convincing a judge that they have evidence of a crime." 
It’s really hard not to just enjoy the hubris of Mr. “Lock Her Up” being raided by the FBI, but let’s actually just focus on what it all means that Donald Trump has had Mar-A-Lago raided today.  
The specific search seems to be about some Presidential records and classified documents that Trump took to Mar-A-Lago, but it’s also fair to say that we don’t know what those records supposedly show, and therefore whether or not this is connected to one or both of the Grand Juries investigating the attempt to overturn the 2020 election with fake electors and January 6th, respectively. That said, on some level, the details don’t matter for the politics of all of this, and that’s where the GOP are in deep, deep trouble. 
...[the GOP] are not going to make strategically optimal decisions to appeal to the centre ground, because their heads are so far up their own asses that they think loyalty to Trump matters more than electability. 
... the GOP are shooting themselves in the feet and letting Democrats reframe this election away from Biden and to a choice between them and a cast of fucking crazy people. 
Democrats can now tie together the defence of criminality here with the incredibly restrictive abortion policies of state GOPs and create a coherent narrative about their sensible, pragmatic approach to helping everyday Americans and the GOP’s weird obsession with criminalizing women and defending Trump. If that’s not a winning message, I don’t know what is. 

Monday, August 08, 2022

Today's News: Cheering

Big Democratic win today in the US Senate. This "Dark Brandon" meme seems to have legs: Rob Reiner knew: Somewhere, Harry Reid is looking down and nodding "Well played, grasshopper. Well played!"

Sunday, August 07, 2022

Weekend funnies

Starting with some good cartoons:


 

Saturday, August 06, 2022

Today's News: Fighting the good fight

This is true for us lefty Canadians too:
Being timid, defensive, and afraid is a losing strategy according to Anat Shenkar-Osario, president of ASO Communications, who runs weekly focus groups where she tests messaging strategies with potential voters. According to her, Democrats must rise up and fight if they want to win over surge and swing voters and energize their base. “Democrats need to go on offense, because people are hungry for a demonstration of leadership,” she told me, citing swing voters who are “attracted to decisiveness for its own sake, irrespective of the content of that decision.” 
She said this explains why they find Republicans appealing even as they consistently describe them to her team as “evil,” “snakes,” and a party that “doesn’t care about anybody but themselves.” Republicans appear to use their power to just get shit done and carry out their agenda, regardless if it’s popular.
 ....Shenkar-Osario’s message for Democrats is simple: “Stake your turf, go on offense, and say what you’re for always—that performs better in the field, and performs better with the masses. If your words don’t spread, it doesn’t work.” It’s time for Democrats to speak up and say the words.
Because if we don't speak out, we see the kind of MAGA trashing of Trudeau and that PEI restaurant will just get ignored or even accepted by Conservative politicians and their media:

Friday, August 05, 2022

Today's News: Cue the Rocky Music!

 
 Not to jinx things, but I think maybe Biden is winning! Republicans thought they won something big when SCOTUS dismantled abortion rights in June. 
But this terrible decision has actually become a turning point for Democrats -- it unified congressional Dems and Democrats across the country like never before, and also made them realize that they are never going to get anything done if they waited for Republicans to come to their senses. 
Biden has stepped up with a series of executive orders and initiatives over the last six weeks, to deal with problems ranging from increasing supplied of baby formula to lowering gas prices to protecting gay marriage and setting federal standards for women's health. At the same time he has been continuing international leadership on Ukraine and dealing with al-Qaeda's Ayman al-Zawahiri. 
Democrats have been heartened by the outpouring of disgust at Republicans playing politics with the healthcare of veterans - notice how quickly they got a new vote underway - and now the vote in Kansas has made Democrats realize how powerful an issue abortion rights will be in the November mid-terms.
It has been a remarkable summer: I love this "Dark Brandon" reference:
And here's an unexpected twist: Turning to Canadian politics, just this tonight:

Thursday, August 04, 2022

Today's News: Here's another fine mess

I seldom pay much attention to the latest right-wing anti-Liberal hate-fest -- from SNC Lavelin to WE, they started out with the Trudeau government looking awful while the national media huffed and puffed to try to blow Trudeau's house down, and in the end, Meh! 
This time the story is a really awful one -- that our Foreign Affairs Minister MΓ©lanie Joly abandoned Canada's Ukrainian embassy employees last winter in spite of threats of their arrest by Russia. 
The Globe and Mail reported yesterday that Global Affairs was still following an old Harper government policy, so they not only refused to do anything last winter to help our local embassy staff in Ukraine but didn't allow embassy leaders to inform the staff that Russia had threatened to arrest after the invasion. Then today we were told that Minister Joly "didn't know" that embassy staff had been threatened
Looks pretty bad, eh?
But in a press conference today, Joly said that's not what happened. 
In today's St. Catherine Standard, Immigration Reporter Nicholas Leung reported in some detail about what Joly said: 
On Wednesday, Foreign Affairs Minister MΓ©lanie Joly was asked if her office was aware of the intelligence that Ukrainian staff for foreign embassies were allegedly on Russia’s list of targeted individuals — and deliberately withheld the information from the local staff at the mission. 
“Never did I or the department have any information targeting locally engaged Canadian staff. We never got that information, nor me or my team or the department,” Joly told reporters at a joint news conference with her visiting German counterpart, Annalena Baerbock, after the two met to discuss the energy and food security crises as well as trade. 
“I know we have a specific duty of care. I know this is in conversations within the department whether that duty of care applies to locally engaged staff. I would say that morally we have an obligation toward locally engaged staff.”
...Joly said she had spoken “directly” with the locally engaged staff about their safety and security during her visits in Ukraine in January before the war and followed up with the department and Canadian ambassador in Kyiv, Larisa Galadza, on this issue, throughout, including on Feb. 24, when the war was declared. 
“Ukraine is a war-torn country, we wanted to make sure that they had options. They were offered options to come to Canada. Some of them have decided to come. Some of them have decided to stay,” said Joly, who praised the contributions of the local Ukrainian staff members. 
 “They were also given full payment and compensation and benefits, although for some time the diplomats were outside of the country.”
In other news, the CPC had another leadership debate tonight. 
I didn't watch it because Poilievre wasn't there - it doesn't matter what any of the other candidates say because Poilievre is going to be the next CPC leader anyway. Scrimshaw has been on fire lately when it comes to the leadership contest - which he says is no contest at all
 ... for my selfish self-interest, I want people to be pretending this is a close race, because then it makes me look more prescient when Poilievre wins easily. This race has been called in the pages of this site perfectly from the day the campaign started, with Poilievre a clear and obvious winner, with Charest and Brown jokes, and with Lewis a theoretical danger but probably not one, because Poilievre was always going to eat her lunch... 

Wednesday, August 03, 2022

Today's News: Incredible or incredibly stupid!

Incredible!

Tuesday, August 02, 2022

Today's News: A problem with definitions

Some chatter these days about how conservatives and progressives aren't talking to each other very much anymore.
We don't agree on some basic definitions anymore, do we. 
For example, "freedom" to some conservatives seems to mean that they should be "free" to not have to follow any rules or laws about how to treat people. And second, I don't know who is selling this fantasy, but pro-life conservatives in the US are pretending now that US state laws against "abortion" really only ban the pregnancy terminations they don't approve of, while the terminations they DO approve of - ie, the terminations that save a woman's life - aren't really abortions at all and therefore are still legal. The extent of right-wing - conservative anger is getting frightening - it was bad enough in Canada in 2019, throwing gravel at Trudeau, but the FluTruxKlan extravaganza this winter seems to have created a fury of hate. 
 Recent example -- last week in Canmore Alta, a guy destroyed his family business just because he couldn't resist sending an unnecessary transphobic insult email. Here's a good analysis of how this could happen - mainly, because of the right-wing bubble that these people live in, where they believe they are in the mainstream and everybody secretly agrees with them: But there are even hate-crimes happening in little ole PEI, for heaven's sake, just because Trudeau happened to drop in to a Charlottestown pub one day. What is the matter with people like this?
Its hard to figure out how this type of ill-will can end, or where we will be when it does. 

Sunday, July 31, 2022

A random collection of oddities

For Saturday night, here's a collection of odd tweets and commentary from the last week or so: