Tuesday, December 31, 2024

Getting ready for 2025


View on Threads
Actually, this probably applies to 2025 also:

Monday, December 30, 2024

Crime-washing the Trump presidency: "We're finally on our own..."


I've been calling Trump's presidency "Trump 2: The Revenge Tour" and that is exactly what it will be. 
There is nothing so trivial that Trump can't feel insulted about it. 
This is a guy who insisted the National Parks Service endorse his "biggest presidential inauguration ever" claim in 2016. This is the guy who marked up a map with a felt pen then tried to get the press to report on how the National Weather Service actually HAD given him map showing Georgia would be affected by a hurricane - that was in 2018 I think. It was nuts. 
So imagine how angry he is now about the convictions for sexual assault and for his business shenanigans, the 34 felony convictions, the January 6 investigation, the Jack Smith investigation, the Georgia prosecutions, the Florida charges.  And this time, he is making sure that he will have subservient leadership in the FBI, the CIA and the Department of Justice, so he can sic them on everyone who "dissed" him over the last four years. 
So far it appears the American press is just going to go along with it. 
The reporters are likely scared too, of course. And we've already seen plenty of evidence that media ownership is terrified -- looking at you, LA Times, ABC News, the New York Times, the Washington Post...

Sunday, December 29, 2024

Saturday, December 28, 2024

Playing the long game


Trudeau is speaking softly, playing the long game with Trump. This is his only response to all the "51s5 State" bluster from Trump:

Wednesday, December 25, 2024

Tuesday, December 24, 2024

Today's News: Could there be a method to Trump's madness?


So now Trump is talking about the United States invading Mexico, buying Greenland and taking over the Panama Canal as well as Canada. 
Its nuts.
For one thing, this:
View on Threads
It seems like a joke:
But maybe he's not just babbling, maybe there is reason for this craziness.

Jeff Tiedrich / Everyone is entitled to my own opinion
oh look, Elderly Golfer is a geopolitical madman
Panama, Greenland, Canada and Mexico are all on Donny’s shopping list
...well, shove over, George, and make room — there’s a new worst president ever in town
Donny Convict is also being advised to achieve dominance by fucking shit up on a global scale — but he’s not listening to the neocons, who at least had some level of experience in foreign policy.
no, Donny has surrounded himself with a fucktangle of vainglorious lunatics who have no idea what they’re talking about, and no earthly clue how to achieve their batshit goals.
...on Saturday, Donny threatened to invade Panama and take back the Canal. we all had fun mocking the shit out Donny’s bluster, but he didn’t come up with the idea all by his lonesome.
this clusterfuck-to-come has the ketamine-addled cortex of President-Elect Elon Musk all over it — because you know who depends on global shipping lanes, don’t you?
...last night, Donny took to his failing app to announce that Ken Howery was to be his pick for Ambassador to Denmark — and deep down in the post was an ominous threat. “For purposes of National Security and Freedom throughout the World, the United States of America feels that the ownership and control of Greenland is an absolute necessity.”
so now Donny’s not just asking Denmark to sell us Greenland — he’s demanding it. that’s nice.
this time around, there’s a reason for Donny’s northern land-grab: eventually, climate change is going to make all the Arctic ice go fuckity-bye, opening up new shipping routes at the top of the world. controlling Greenland would put the United States right in the thick of this new profit center.
...so when Donny “jokes” about annexing Canada, you have to wonder — is he really joking? because Canada is also going to be jockeying for primacy as new Arctic shipping lanes open.
...here where we stand today: a demented megalomaniac who will soon have access to a nuclear arsenal — and who would love nothing more than to crown himself King of the World — is being manipulated by one or more greedy plutocrats who have their own business interests at heart.
what could possibly go wrong?
our saving grace, once again, will be that the Sewer Cons are delusional clownfuckers with a track record of failure after failure, and have no idea what they’re doing.

Saturday, December 21, 2024

Today's News: "President Musk" memes, Poilievre sell-out, Trump bald, Mangione fade


America fucked around and they're already finding out what they really elected:

They thought they were voting for cheaper bacon and they got new conflicts with the EU, Mexico, Canada and Panama.

— Ron Filipkowski (@ronfilipkowski.bsky.social) December 21, 2024 at 8:07 PM
Paul Krugman / Krugman Wonks Out
The Chaos Monkeys Have Already Taken Over the Zoo
The peddlers of misinformation are high on their own supply
...antics like the potential shutdown will do much more damage to the Musk/Trump administration than they realize. (There’s also this other guy — JV Dance or something? — but he clearly doesn’t matter.)
First, since the election financial markets have clearly been betting that Trump will do very little of what he promised during the campaign — that we won’t really have a trade war, just some minor trade skirmishes, that we’ll have symbolic deportations rather than a mass roundup of immigrants, and so on. Markets have, in effect, discounted the disastrous consequences that would follow if Trump honored his own promises.
But a government shutdown in response to completely false claims about what’s in an innocuous short-term funding measure suggests that the peddlers of misinformation are high on their own supply. Trump may really believe that foreigners will pay tariffs, that U.S. trade deficits subsidize the rest of the world, that there’s a reserve army of American workers available to fill the gaps deportation would create. I don’t want to put too much weight on the latest market fluctuations, but it is starting to look as if investors are questioning their own complacency
Second, many, probably most people who voted for Trump believed that he really is the character he played on The Apprentice — a highly competent manager. ...Trump’s edge depended entirely on support from voters who don’t pay much attention to politics
How will these voters react if, as seems all too likely, the second Trump administration is instead marked by rolling chaos?
Anyway, it’s pretty remarkable. Inauguration Day is still a month away, yet the chaos monkeys have already taken over.

Today's News: #IStandWithTrudeau is trending


#IStandWithTrudeau2025 is trending tonight: Here's some good news -- the Trudeau GST cuts appear to be working to give the economy a boost:

Thursday, December 19, 2024

Today's News: Weakness all around


The government shutdown talk in the United States shows Trump for what he really is -- 
a weak clown
 Oliver Willis / Daily Kos 
Billionaires lead GOP revolt against critical spending bill 
...Led by billionaires who have been appointed by Donald Trump to wield massive influence over his incoming administration, Republican members of Congress are rejecting a last-ditch spending bill just days before a possible government shutdown. 
 House Speaker Mike Johnson has had to reach across the aisle for Democratic assistance to pass the continuing resolution legislation ahead of Friday, the last day before funding dries up. But hard-line Republicans in his own party have voiced their opposition to the bill, which contains economic aid for those hit by recent hurricanes and some relief for farmers. 
 It looks like they’re taking their cues from the likes of failed presidential candidate and billionaire Vivek Ramaswamy, who Trump appointed to lead the advisory (and completely unofficial) Department of Government Efficiency alongside multibillionaire Elon Musk. The obscenely wealthy duo wants the bill killed. 
Canada is giving Trump lots of coverage this week as he has tweeted about Freeland resigning and Canada becoming a US state. In Canada, Trudeau seems to be going from bad to worse. Grenier gives an excellent summary of the slide in Liberal fortunes since July 2023:
Éric Grenier / The Writ 
Weekly Writ 12/18: After a tough 18 months, will this week end Trudeau? 
How the cycle of bad polling and unforced errors has brought the Liberals where they are today. 
...[Trudeau]seems to have three options available to him, none of them good: he can try to hold on, call an election or resign. The least-bad option for him and his party would seem to be a resignation. A competitive leadership race that names a new prime minister early next year would give the Liberals a fighting (if still long-shot) chance in the next election. By comparison, sacrificing himself on the electoral altar in a snap vote would do little good for the Liberal Party and trying to hold on as prime minister for as long as possible would likely do even more harm. 
Whether or not an election now is the right call for the country as a whole is another matter entirely. Depending on how one views what the Conservatives would do once in office, one could debate that Trudeau giving a successor a chance in the next election later is better than handing over the reins of power to Pierre Poilievre now, but it is increasingly untenable for Trudeau to believe that staying on in his weakened state is the better option for Canada, especially in the context of the looming tariff threat south of the border. 
 Of course, this week’s bombshell didn’t occur in isolation. It’s the culmination of a cycle of series of decisions and events spanning Trudeau’s time in office since 2015 that has been accelerated by the Liberals’ more recent slide in the polls. Attempts to halt that slide resulted in unforced errors, further driving the cycle of bad polls, unforced errors and caucus (and, now, cabinet) unrest.
While the catalyst for the slide might not have explicitly been the cabinet shuffle of July 26, 2023, it certainly seems to have been an inflection point for the government. It was presented as a reset for the Liberals but seemed to many voters to have simply been more of the same. 

Wednesday, December 18, 2024

Umm....about that deficit? Actually, it's not as bad as we thought.


I was shocked - SHOCKED - when I saw how much the deficit has increased according to the Fall Economic Statement yesterday.  Lots of people were freaking out.
Turns out, it sounds much worse than it actually is. 

Rough math, Canada’s deficit is at like 2.1% of gdp….. A little context: The U.S is at like 6%, The EU guardrail is 3%. The sky is in fact; not falling #Cdnpoli

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— booth4scartown.bsky.social (@booth4scartown.bsky.social) December 16, 2024 at 1:36 PM

Correct, don't let anyone tell you $61B is a terrible deficit. Canada has a larger population and much higher GDP than when Harper was PM. There are reasons for Trudeau to step down. The budget isn't one of them. #cdnpoli #bcpoli #onpoli

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— elcanaco.bsky.social (@elcanaco.bsky.social) December 16, 2024 at 7:59 PM
 ...last year’s deficit was larger than expected because the government booked a bunch of legal settlements—primarily for the Indigenous communities—onto last year’s books (which is probably also why the Public Accounts have been delayed). These were one-time costs, so that means the deficit can continue to decline in the future, and economist Armine Yalnizyan noted that this was essentially a gift to the next government because it’s off their books, and they can make it look like they were more prudent managers when that’s not necessarily the case. Nevertheless, the government didn’t try to tease or hint that this was coming, which really makes you wonder about whoever is trying to decide on their communications strategy.

Tuesday, December 17, 2024

Today's News: Trudeau decides not to decide

After a day of breathless anticipation, Trudeau is still Prime Minister tonight. But tune in tomorrow....

Here's Scrimshaw's liveblog of what happened through this afternoon and caucus meeting: Liberals In Crisis LiveBlog: Freeland Resigns On The Ongoing Crisis 
TLDR: at 5 pm it looked like Trudeau wouldn't survive the meeting, but by 6:45 pm he is still PM. Scrimshaw writes "Trudeau isn’t resigning tonight, but it also looks like caucus hasn’t actually backed the PM." 

On Twitter and Bluesky, there is lots of mixed opinions.  

Here's one way to look at it:

Sunday, December 15, 2024

Funny stuff and fascinating threads and animal crackers

Enjoy some of the funny stuff and the words of wisdom that I have been collecting lately:


Friday, December 13, 2024

Today's News: "So how does one prepare for a dictatorship?"

Is everyone just whistling past the American graveyard right now?
I'm seeing a lot of coverage of Trump's incompetent, unqualified toady nominees for this or that or the other -- "The Trump cabinet: A merger of Fox & friends and The Sopranos". And I'm seeing coverage about how Trump expects everyone to "bend the knee" and I'm seeing comment on Trump's crazy ideas for ridiculous tarrifs and mass deportations and closing the border and sending troops into American cities and pardoning all the J6 people and rewriting the 2020 election and jailing anybody who resists or ever did resist Trump.
But shouldn't our media be putting this all together?  
Yes, each awful nomination gets some push-back from American media, and the blizzard of "executive orders" released on Jan 21 will be poured over individually and likely challenged in court. But its the whole picture that is really terrifying. 
This isn't going to be politics as usual. 
When you put it all together, Trump's administration is going to be a dictatorship. 
I have called it it "Trump 2: The Revenge Tour" and that is exactly what it will be.  
And dictators never leave voluntarily. 
And they don't allow opposition parties to win elections either. 

Thursday, December 12, 2024

Today's Roundup: The CEO assassination


The assassination of a US health insurance executive and the subsequent arrest of the shooter shouldn't really be such an existential story. 
But in the United States, we see such anger and fear and despair over health insurance company cruelty, and such a propensity to use violence to solve problems.
There is a warning here for Canada too, if our Conservative provincial governments keep trying to privatize more and more medicare services, NOBODY in Canada wants a US-style health care system. NOBODY
Getting back to the story, it is also an astounding cautionary tale: the rich people who always thought of themselves as the good guys -- well-off, upper class, safe neighbourhoods, private schools, classy restaurants, nice cars, good doctors, cleaning ladies to do the scut work, etc -- have now discovered that millions of ordinary people maybe actually hate them. Or at least are not particularly outraged when somebody shoots one of them down in the street. 
And this upper class group includes many of the mainstream media journalists, who themselves are rich enough to be insulated from fear of health care denial, and who are now shocked, SHOCKED, by the cheering.

Wednesday, December 11, 2024

Today's News: The Trudeau government is "playing a bad hand as well as they can"


I was looking at X tonight, and saw that Maple MAGA is just delighted with the "Governor Trudeau" insult.
Jerks!
Here's what I think happened: 
Trump saw all the praise in Canada for Trudeau's dinner initiative, and saw how Trudeau charmed the other Mar-A-LardAss dinner guests, and only then did he realize that inviting Trudeau to dinner had given Canada an advantage that Trump didn't actually intend us to have. 
So he found a way to slap us down again, with his Flag post and his Governor Trudeau post. 
Now, Maple MAGA doesn't understand it, but many Canadians know the insult was intended to ridicule all of us, not just Trudeau. 
I haven't seen a reaction from Trudeau yet to Trump's insulting trolling. 
But now I don't expect to see one -- I think Scrimshaw is correct in saying Trudeau should focus on results rather than performative outrage: 

Scrimshaw Unscripted
In Defence Of Trudeau's Trump Strategy
Stop Asking For Them To Overreact
...There’s really no way to talk about this honestly without just being blunt - those people who want us to scream that ”#Actually We Are Independent And Won’t Be Trampled With” at every provocation of the Trump Transition have some of the most truly pathetic small dick energy we’ve ever seen. It’s a hot dog hollering.....
What the government is doing is what people who actually have the asset or attributes that are under discussion do - they don’t focus on winning the public debate, they focus on achieving outcomes....
Let’s say Trudeau comes out today flanked by whoever you like - all the Premiers, all the party leaders, a group of esteemed Canadians, or even all of the above. He stares down the camera, puts on his best serious voice, and says that Canada has won a war of southern aggression once before and that if need be they will fight one again. He says that Canadians may respect America, but the fundamental glory of Canada is in its learnings both from American success but also American failure. He says that we will not subjugate Canadians to any nonsense from a wannabe authoritarian. What happens the minute he’s done giving that speech?
I’m sure a bunch of idiots would feel better about themselves,... But it would get a reaction from Washington, including from the famously volatile President-elect who is known for having enemies. It would do no good except in making some of us feel better.
I don’t know this, but it does seem likely to me that Trump’s continuing with this line of provocation in large part because it’s not getting a response from us. Annexing Canada isn’t happening, and a serious or credible attempt at it isn’t either. There is no universe in which an admin with the active crises it faces in Ukraine, Israel/Gaza, and Syria, plus the cold but important conflict-in-all-but-name with China, would ever muster the theoretical capacity to plan such a strike, let alone the actual capacity to attack. You have Elon and Vivek agreeing with Bernie Sanders that military spending cuts are on the table in their fake Not-A-Department, but they’re gonna invade and annex Canada. Sure.
...What the Trudeau government is doing is playing a very bad hand about as well as they can. They have certain assets, but we are a smaller, economically reliant country that relies on American goodwill as a replacement for genuinely innovative economic policy. We can fight about what extent the fault lies with Pierre Trudeau or Brian Mulroney or Doug Ford or Mike Harris or Chretien or whoever the fuck another time. Right now we have to play the cards we have well. And what so many seem to want is counterproductive claptrap. If someone can articulate an actual path from Trudeau forcefully condemning these comments to a good outcome for Canadians I’ll listen to the case. But it doesn’t exist....