Getting a Grip on all of Trump's Wars?
Our son follows a "This Week in World War 2" podcast and when I hear it I am struck by the scattered complexity of that war - events going on simultaneously in theatres in Europe, Ukraine, Greece, the Baltics, Libya, Africa, Europe, the Philippines, India-Burma, Hong-Kong, on the Atlantic and Pacific.
I'm feeling like that now -- we seem to be reaching a level of scattered complexity in today's conflicts too, where I find it all too nonsensical and its increasingly hard to keep track of how they affect Canada in some manner or that Canada is dealing with-- we have the Russia-Ukraine War, Israel-Hamas/Gaza War, Trump's tariff wars, US-Venezuela War, the US-Israel-Iran War, Lebanon-Israel War, and the US blockade of Cuba.
I also think that America's ICE Gestapo are making war on the American people, with raids, arrests with no warrants, disappearances, and concentration camps now being built across the United States.
And Trump seems to be declaring war against the Pope now too.
So maybe its just me, but I am finding it increasingly difficult to get a grip on what is going on with all of Trump's wars -- I don't spend all day on social media, so when I open it up I often see that he has announced something, or lied about doing something else, then I realize it already got changed, or everybody just ignored it, or something just fell apart again.
When it comes to the Iran War, I can't follow whether Hormuz is open, or closed, or partly open, or closed for some countries, or open only for China, or something else. And I don't know if the Houthis are also blocking Red Sea shipping. According to Phillips P. OBrien - see the illustration above - the financial markets aren't taking Trump very seriously anymore.
Apparently Europe is due to run out of aviation fuel in six weeks. So what happens next?
Is Venezuela OK? Is anyone helping Gaza now? Is Cuba getting any supplies? Will American concentration camps be operational before the midterms or can individual communities stop them? Will American immigrants try to escape to Canada, and will the Carney government be merciful or cruel?
I just read in the New York Times that there is going to be
a cease-fire between Israel and Lebanon (gift link) and maybe also Hezbollah. And talks are on-going between the US and Iran, I guess, though Hegseth is still blustering about bombing.
I'm pretty sure Trump or Hegseth can screw this up somehow:
Via REUTERS:
“A Pakistani security source told Reuters: A deal between the US and Iran is close, with talks in their final phase. Backchannel diplomacy via Pakistan is ongoing, alongside direct contact between technical teams. He said that next round will be more of a deal signing ceremony.”
- Yashar Ali
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And about those financial markets:
Apparently the dudes behind the biggest financial institutions in the world follow absolutely no news except the few Truth Social posts that make it to Fox.
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— 🗽LOLGOP🗽 (@thefarce.org) April 16, 2026 at 7:33 PM
Stock markets represent the combined judgements of millions of investors with a fearsome interest in being right. My judgement is just stuff I think. It is obvious that I should be extremely cautious in dismissing the judgements of markets.
Which is why I say the following only a soft mutter not intended to be heard by others: The markets have lost their flipping minds.
- Dan Gardner
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