Canada needs some more Forward Guidance now. Plus, today's Pride Update

It feels like we're in a tangled ball of string right now, doesn't it.

While the CUSMA trade discussions are getting underway, we're also hearing about the "recession" data figures plus a revival of Trump's "51st State!" talk while the US economy is likely going to spiral downward as the pointless Iran War and Hormuz closure affects stock markets and world trade. Not to mention the atrocities in the Ukraine Russia War, and the Gaza and Lebanon Wars, and the ICE Gestapo in US cities. And of course the separation referendums in Alberta and Quebec, plus doom and gloom about this summer's fire season and supercharged El Nino weather and horrible heat waves in India and ...
Oh, its all just too much to keep track of. 

I think Canada need another Carney Forward Guidance video right quick, just to get through the summer.

At Routine Proceedings, journalist Dale Smith is concerned that Carney is ceding too much of the "recession narrative" to Poilievre:

....prime minister Mark Carney has been wholly silent on it since the data were released on Friday morning. He made two separate media appearances yesterday but took no questions at either one, and he has avoided Question Period yesterday and he’s avoiding it today, and it really starts to look like he’s ceding the ground to Poilievre, who keeps bellowing his ridiculous narratives while Carney, who is supposed to have the economic gravitas as a former central bank governor, remains absent. And there are important things we should probably be talking about with this data, such as the fact that in periods of slow growth, these indicators dipping below zero are less important than the overall picture, and that overreacting and panicking can lead to greater problems or damage in the longer term. But we’re not having this conversation because, again, Carney is ceding the field, and given that Poilievre seems to enjoy this unearned economic credibility, it’s frankly arrogant to think that his bogus narratives can’t gain traction because they absolutely can, and that will spell trouble overall.

Carney actually did respond to questions today:

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Just another day - some short takes on Canada's so-called recession, Poilievre, Pride Month, Alberta "rednexit", and so on

I'm not an economist, thank god, but I think I understand what the Financial Post writer Pamela Heaven is saying here:

Posthaste: Recession, what recession? Canada's economy is doing better than it has in years by this measure
GDP per person is once again on the rise
Canadian economic data made international news Friday as the latest reading of gross domestic product earned mentions from everyone from investing guru Mohamed El-Erian to the Wall Street Journal.
Canada’s GDP doesn’t often attract such attention, but this time a second quarter of contraction raised the red flag of “technical recession.”
Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre seized on the data, accusing Prime Minister Mark Carney of being the only G7 leader to send his country’s economy into recession and calling for an emergency debate.
The numbers were certainly a surprise. The 0.1 per cent decline in GDP in the first quarter shocked observers who had been expecting growth closer to 2 per cent. ‘Historically unusual,” is how Nathan Janzen, assistant chief economist at the Royal Bank of Canada, described it.
Luckily, economists say there is more to a recession than just two quarters of negative growth — namely the 3 Ds — depth, duration and dispersion.
This decline is not even close on depth — amounting to just 0.6 per cent annualized over the two quarters, “barely a scratch in GDP terms,” said Robert Kavcic, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets in a note.
In the past three Canadians recessions, outside the pandemic, the average decline at the weakest point was 5.3 per cent.
Nor is weakness widespread across the economy. The trade war has hit manufacturing, trade and real estate hard, but other sectors like finance, resources and health care are growing, said Kavcic.
Though exports are down, domestic demand has been climbing, and consumer spending has continued to rise.
Duration, he concedes, is getting close. The Canadian economy has been soft since the start of the trade war in early 2025, posting three negative quarters out of four.
However, there is one key variable in this equation that should not be overlooked and when viewed through its lens paints a very different picture of Canada’s economy, say economists — population.
Since the federal government cracked down on immigration after the post-pandemic boom, population has actually declined in Canada over the past two quarters.
So while the overall GDP reading is slipping, GDP per person is on the rise, a welcome change from a few years back when the per capita measure was nose-diving....

So naturally, Poilievre is in a panic. And I guess he thinks Canadians are stupid and easily bamboozled, doesn't he.

Q: Polls show that despite the bleak picture that you're painting, Canadians trust Mark Carney to deal with the economy. Why do you think that despite what you're saying, your pitch is not resonating with them? Pierre Poilievre: THE ILLUSION

- Scott Robertson

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Sunday Funday: This week's good posts and funny posts. Plus- Everybody hates AI, Getting Old(er), Carney Hat-trick, TrumpWatch, Animal Crackers

It was quite the week, wasn't it. Here's hoping June will be better....

In the meantime, enjoy!

Good posts
Industrial-scale farming is mesmerizing:

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Today's News: "Next Year Country" , the Alberta story behind the story, and Trump's no good very bad day

"Next Year Country" 

Thanks for the memories. Canada will have to wait another year to build a team for the 2027 Stanley Cup -- which could well be the Canadiens again. 

I think all of Canada is grateful that the Canadiens worked so hard and got so far. A Game Four loss of 6 to 1 is painful, but it is what it is.
I guess I'll cheer for the Canes in the Stanley Cup.

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Carney to America: Canada doesn't need to lose just so you can win

Carney told New York on Thursday that “Canada strong will help make America great again”

Impressive speech by PM Carney 🇨🇦 https://youtu.be/-Wa2kZIV26s?si=eYDIlUzrtu3jOT5h

- Kier Atkinson 🇨🇦

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So I'm seeing "why is Carney talking MAGA?" reactions on social media. But at a time when Canada is entering into crucial negotiations over whether Trump will abandon the CUSMA agreement, it doesn't surprise me to see Carney take the initiative at the Economic Club of New York with a positive message to counter Trump's zero-sum transactional thinking.
Carney's message is pretty simple - Canada doesn't need to lose just so America can win.

Well, damn! Habs lose. Plus, we need "Elbows Up for Canada" to counteract "shotgun federalism" and horserace journalism

Habs lose

Oh dear.
Maybe it just isn't meant to be this year for the Canadiens. But you're still a hell of a team.

#Habs Lane Hutson: "it seemed like the only guy who showed up was Doby [Jakub Dobeš]. We were just not good enough, didn't answer the bell. The good news is we get another chance to answer the bell."

— Priyanta Emrith (@habsinhighheels.bsky.social) May 27, 2026 at 9:09 PM

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Today's News: Canadian politics, plus fake news and good news, Pope Leo on AI, and a few funny bits

More about that damned Referendum Lite

On Monday, Carney said this:
and also this:

In the Toronto Star, Susan Delacourt writes

Outside Alberta, a political consensus is emerging — not just on how the Alberta referendum should turn out, but on whether it should be held at all....
Premiers like Doug Ford and B.C.’s David Eby have been crystal clear in recent days that they think this referendum — asking Albertans whether there should be another referendum on independence — is a bad idea....
But it was Mark Carney who went all the way out there on Monday, calling it a “dangerous bluff.” This third and most powerful voice meant that Smith’s referendum is getting blowback from a Liberal, a Conservative and a New Democrat.
Carney occasionally reminds us he’s new to the political game and — I mean this in a good way — his comments on the Alberta referendum were not standard political fare. Last Friday, his initial remarks on the subject were more guarded. Clearly, after a weekend of reflection, the prime minister decided to say what was on his mind.
“Is it helpful to ask this fundamental question? No. It’s not helpful, of course it’s not. Is it the democratic will of Albertans? Did they vote for this in the last provincial election? No, they didn’t. It wasn’t on the ballot paper. It wasn’t in the mandates of, or platforms, of any of the governing party and the official opposition,” Carney told reporters.
Many of us have been wondering whether Carney sees parallels to the Brexit vote, which took place in the U.K. while he was governor of the Bank of England.
Yes, as a matter of fact he does, and on Monday he put that right on the line, too.
“I saw firsthand what happened in the United Kingdom when the view was, ‘Vote for this. It will be soft and then we’ll negotiate, etc.’
“They’re still, 10 years later, trying to undo what people didn’t think they were voting for but what they ended up having.”
I applauded this answer as refreshing and considered candour...
The most persuasive arguments for the cause of unity may come not from politicians, but from the private sector, which can lay out the case for why Alberta separatism is a bad business proposition.
You hear some of this already from the corporate sector, pointedly noting that Alberta shouldn’t be risking the instability that drives away investment precisely when this province needs it, in the midst of Donald Trump’s ongoing trade war with Canada....

Rhymes with Duck! Plus other sports updates, and some Canada good news

Damn!

Of all the posts I saw about the Monday night game, this says it best: 

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Hey, Habs - please do that voodoo that you do so well! Plus its Sunday Funday: Riders win, Knicks win, good posts, funny posts, Getting Old(er), Carney hat-trick, TrumpWatch, Animal Crackers

But damn! 

The Habs voodoo wasn't quite strong enough on Saturday night.

#Habs 2 - 3 #Hurricanes (F/OT) MTL stats 🚨Goals: Anderson (4,5) 🏒PP: 0-for-2 🏒Guhle: 3-game point streak (3A) 🏒Danault: 3-game point streak (2G 3A) 🏒Carrier: 3-game point streak (3A) Shots MTL: 12 CAR: 26 Series tied 1-1 Game 3: CAR vs MTL on Monday @ 8pm ET #GoHabsGo youtu.be/g9wHq0uFxS0

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— ChrisHabs360 (@chrishabs360.bsky.social) May 23, 2026 at 9:14 PM

#Habs Martin St. Louis following 3-2 OT loss "I thought they had really good sticks. I thought our execution was not as good, but it wasn't terrible. Overall, I thought it was a battle out there, and I thought we competed. It's a close game—it's a fine line between winning and losing." #GoHabsGo

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— ChrisHabs360 (@chrishabs360.bsky.social) May 23, 2026 at 9:38 PM

Referendum Lite Roundup: The more we see it, the more we hate it

The more Canada is learning today about Danielle Smith's Alberta Referendum Lite, the more we hate it. 

Not only will it screw up the international and national investments Canada needs to maintain Elbows Up, it also makes us a target for American interference in our democracy and economy. Canada doesn't need this investment-killing selfishness, and particularly we don't need it right now.

Carney's response was politic, but unfortunately it wasn't very fired-up patriotic

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A great beginning for the Habs! Plus Smith's goofy Referendum Lite - does Alberta actually WANT to delay new resource investments until 2027? And a farewell to Stephen Colbert

Habs win!

At least there was one good news story today -- after the Canes scored at 30 seconds, Montreal came back and scored at a minute. 

Then they put the pedal to the metal for the rest of the game.

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Waiting for the game: Watching "The Sweater" and gathering a batch of news updates

While we wait for the game on Thursday night, enjoy my favourite NFB video in all time,

 The Sweater, plus a batch of news updates.

The maybe pipeline

PM Carney: "The pipeline will only be advanced with the following prerequisites being met. The first is the building of pathways ... Secondly it requires that British Columbians should share substantial economic and financial benefits. And thirdly requires fully respecting Canada's duty to consult."

- Scott Robertson

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Following up on yesterday's post about whether British Columbia deserves to feel aggrieved over Carney's dealings with Alberta, I decided to compare what was being reported in the BC newspapers on Wednesday, with the reporting in the Globe and Mail and in Alberta papers: 

Wars and rumours of war, plus some Canada news, and predictions of a sad World Cup

It seems like its been a while since I've updated on today's wars, so here are a few recent posts and comments that I found illuminating: 

Iran War update 

Tonight the New York Times is reporting that the US and Israel thought back in February that they could end the war in a few days by replacing Iran's leadership with a cooperative stooge, easy peasy.
What were they smoking?

...It turns out that the United States and Israel [gift link] went into the conflict with a particular and very surprising someone in mind: Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the former Iranian president known for his hard-line, anti-Israel and anti-American views.
But the audacious plan, developed by the Israelis and which Mr. Ahmadinejad had been consulted about, quickly went awry, according to the U.S. officials who were briefed on it.
Mr. Ahmadinejad was injured on the war’s first day by an Israeli strike at his home in Tehran that had been designed to free him from house arrest, the American officials and an associate of Mr. Ahmadinejad said. He survived the strike, they said, but after the near miss he became disillusioned with the regime change plan.
He has not been seen publicly since then and his current whereabouts and condition are unknown....
... Israel envisioned the war unfolding in several phases, starting with air assaults by the United States and Israel plus the killing of Iran’s supreme leaders and the mobilization of Kurds to fight Iranian forces, according to two Israeli defense officials familiar with the operational planning.
Then, the Israeli plan foresaw a combination of influence campaigns carried out by Israel and the Kurdish invasion creating political instability in Iran and a sense that the regime was losing control. In a third stage, the regime, under intense political pressure and the weight of damage to key infrastructure like electricity, would collapse, allowing for what the Israelis referred to as an “alternative government” to be established.
Other than the air campaign and the killing of the supreme leader, little of the plan played out as the Israelis had hoped, and much of it appears in retrospect to have profoundly misjudged Iran’s resilience and the capacity of the United States and Israel to exert their will...

The Iran War "strategy" looks even crazier: The @nytimes reports that the US plan was to put Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in as leader -- yes, the same Ahmadinejad who was both extremist and a bit crazy. I interviewed Ahmadinejad when he was Iran's president and can't imagine the why the…

— Nicholas Kristof (@NickKristof) May 19, 2026

Olé Olé Olé! Habs win it in overtime. Plus, more about the Alberta voter ID app scandal

What an outstanding win

Carrier’s side switch grants Newhook a cushion on entry, and the forward makes no mistake to send the Habs to the ECF. The second replay gives us a closer look at the game-winning knuckler:

- Vinh Cao

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Alex Newhook is from St. John's, NFLD, by the way, and he scored the game-winner against Tampa in Game 7 of that series too.

Tabarnak!!! Plus, Sunday Funday with funny-odd and funny-haha posts, Hating AI, Carney Hat Trick, TrumpWatch, and Animal Crackers

Oh, tabarnak! The Habs lose tonight - On to Monday!
The video low-lights of Saturday's game are here. I'm not posting the clip because I don't really want to watch it again.
This is a pretty good game review on the Raw NHL website, from Sabres writer Matthew Fairburn

Canadiens fans were ready to party on Saturday night. The holiday weekend brought even more people into the city. Thousands of fans were outside the Bell Centre watching the game, and the 20,962 fans filled the arena with ear-splitting noise before puck drop. Montreal police warned fans outside the building not to bring any pyrotechnics or fireworks, concerned about the kind of scene a Game 6 win would create in the city’s streets.
But the Sabres, who came into this game 4-1 on the road in the playoffs, scored seven unanswered goals to thwart that party and keep their season alive with another road win to bring the series back home for Game 7.
“Well we’re in the process of seeing if we can play here on Monday,” Ruff quipped.
...“It’s probably the worst game we’ve played, so we’re only going up,” Canadiens captain Nick Suzuki said. “It’s going to be important for guys to look themselves in the mirror and say that we’ve got an opportunity to win one game and move on to the third round. So we’ll take that any time.”...