Saturday, March 26, 2022

Today's News: Phase This, Russia!

@NikaMelkozerova tweets this photo today of heroic Ukrainian women going to war.  
Today Russia announced its war of aggression has entered "phase two" - they are pretending that being forced to withdraw further east toward Russia was actually part of their plan all along.
I'm sure those Ukrainian women are saying to Putin: Phase this, you asshole!
I do believe there may be a new phase starting now, but its actually for the Ukrainians, as they begin to focus on pushing Russia out of their country: Russia is, of course, still lying -- as they were making this announcement today about their Phase 2 withdrawals, they were also bringing up more troops and warships to get them ready to expand the war. Adam Silverman writes "The Russians are not negotiating in good faith. People need to stop deluding themselves that Ukraine can negotiate its way out of this war." 
Here are a couple of fascinating tweets from an American with combat experience who travelled to Ukraine to join up:
And here's the story of a Nova Scotia lobsterman who has been helping refugees in his childhood home: Another interesting development: And I love this photo of Joe Biden sharing pizza today with the 82nd Airborne: Some funny tweets about Putin's bizarro "cancel culture" whine about how everybody is being so mean to poor widdle Russia Speaking of Trudeau, he is having a good trip to Europe again -- the more he gets targetted by Nazis, the more Canadians realize just how important he is on the world stage: And this will be Canada's most important event next week:
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Friday, March 25, 2022

Today's News: Ukrainian counter-offensive is underway


The New York Times reports that Ukraine is beginning a counter-offensive 
Ukraine’s military is undertaking a counteroffensive that has altered the central dynamic of the fighting: The question is no longer how far Russian forces have advanced, but whether the Ukrainians are now pushing them back.
Daily Kos reports a huge loss for Russia today at Berdyansk, along the coast of the Sea of Azov. Russian ships and landing craft came under fire, with one ship sunk and two others fleeing, trailing smoke. Explosions on shore show the destruction of a Russian warehouse filled with ammunition.
Mark Sumner at Daily Kos writes: 
 It’s hard to underestimate the effect that the action at Berdyansk could have on Russian morale — if it becomes widely known in Russia. Short of Great Britain in the Napoleonic era, there are few nations that have more pride invested in their naval power than Russia. Their superiority at sea is just assumed, and the Black Sea is their bathtub. For a Russian ship to be sunk in the Black Sea, is a gut punch. 
This map shows in yellow the areas recaptured by the Ukrainian Army: One thing I have realized now about the Russia Ukraine War is that there will be no going back to the way things were. 
Just as we have come to the terrible realization now that after two years, the world isn't going to be "getting over" Covid and we're not going to be "getting back to normal", it is also becoming apparent now that Russia has rained too much destruction and dislocation and upset in Ukraine for that country to just brush itself off and get back to normal. I read this Rude Pundit tweet today and realized this was once my hope too, that Putin would just declare victory and leave: But it ain't happening. The only way for this war to end is to go forward, to find some way to defeat Russia without broadening the confrontation.
NATO is trying to thread the needle here, supporting Ukraine but not widening the war. Biden wants to expell Russia from the G20, and is also preparing to announce a US liquified natural gas deal for Europe.
An interesting thread here from @TrentTelenko -- on pallets and cranes and Russia's lack of both and what impact this is going to have on the war -- ends with this observation: Tom Nichol gives us this analysis today: And meanwhile, in Canada, we had another demonstration today that Canada is making a difference in the world -- Trudeau is getting attacked by the European far-right. And Canadian media are clutching their pearls about it: here's an idea whose time may have come:
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Thursday, March 24, 2022

Today's News: One Month

After a month, Ukraine is pushing Russia back in both the north and the south: Putin started his pointless war against Ukraine a month ago. 
In that time, millions of Ukrainians have had to uproot and move, either to western Ukraine or out of the country. Thousands of Ukrainians have lost their lives. Thousands of homes and streets and buildings have been destroyed -- the New York Times today says Russia has "obliterated everyday life in Ukraine". Millions of Ukrainians have lost their jobs and their homes, likely forever because there's nothing to go back to. 
Unless the war ends in another month, there might not be much of a wheat crop in Ukraine this year either, nor barley or oilseeds.  Farmers will go bankrupt while nations in the Middle East, Africa and Asia that depend on Ukraine crops for subsidized grain and noodles will have to manage hunger next year too.
Also lets not forget the tens of thousands of Russian troops who have been killed, wounded, captured. In Russia itself, hundreds of thousands have lost their careers and their savings.
And in the west, we have spent billions on helping refugees and buying armaments while trying to wrap our heads around the terror we feel now that a Cold War may be start up again. 
And all of this misery and fear and ruin, for what? 
Just for Putin's stupid ego. 
This entire war is a monstrous war crime, a needless, pointless, meritless war of aggression against an innocent people who were doing no harm. Ukraine was not threatening anyone, and they had no expansionist ambitions. They only wanted to be left alone.
At Daily Kos, Hunter describes the basic incompetence of Putin's army: 
The Russian plan appears to be unchanged since the early days of the war; facing unexpected resistance, Russia is instead retaliating against civilians in an attempt to inflict as much non-military damage as possible. 
It is the military "strategy" Russia has fallen into in each of its recent conflicts, and we're now seeing that it may come less from the strategic plans of Russian leaders and more from consistent Russian incompetence at carrying out tactics that do not focus on unarmed foes. The United States government directly accused Russia of committing war crimes today, citing those attacks.
And because of this deadly combination of hubris and incompetence, this war will end in hate:
Yes, it is horrific, and the drumbeat for the US to do more to help Ukraine continues. 
Here's an interesting discussion about irrational vs rational decision-making from Rand Corporation political scientist Michael J. Mazarr, at War On The Rocks: 
 ...many demands for more belligerent actions reflect a mindset commonly associated with foreign policy catastrophes: acting based on an overwhelming sense of what a country must do, rather than a primary and rigorous assessment of which course of action would best advance its interests and goals. The pattern can be described as “imperative-driven judgment.” It is foreign policy by moralistic duty....
Once the direction is set by an imperative, the decision-making system shifts into a form of autopilot. And it can drive a nation right off a policy cliff ...[be] on the lookout for arguments or policy statements suffused with emotional language, heavy on claims of limitless stakes in the conflict, full of moralistic appeals to duty and obligation, and contemptuous of anyone who doubts the proposed course of action. 
... the best answer to imperative-driven tragedies is robust deliberation... Will this policy make a measurable difference in the war? Does it risk crossing some objectively defined escalatory threshold, such as the conduct of actual combat operations? What might Russia make of the act? How might it respond? Are there alternatives that would achieve the same effect, with lower risk? What are the possible second-order effects? Does the act accord with American national interests at stake? The effect of imperative-driven judgment is to brush aside such inconvenient questions. Had enough of them been asked — by the right people, at the right time, with the needed seriousness — the United States might have avoided catastrophes like the Bay of Pigs or the invasion of Iraq.... 
Global peace is at stake in the wider war that could spread from Ukraine. In this crisis, the United States does confront one undeniable obligation: to ask the right questions before, rather than after, taking large-scale action; to check its sense of duty and moralistic commitment; and, this time, to be sure it finds its way to wise action, rather than a road to disaster.

And here is an amazing story of one small Ukrainian town that fought back: And finally, back to Canadian politics:
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Wednesday, March 23, 2022

Today's News: Rumours

Even the New York Times is now starting to write that Russia is actually losing to Ukraine.
Yes, things are still terrible in Mariupol. 
But there was news yesterday that Ukraine troops had pushed Russia back in southern Ukraine, from Mykolaiv toward Kherson. 
And today Ukraine has pushed Russia back north of Kyiv and is encircling Russian troop positions. 
So now I think Europe is considering what Putin might be thinking about doing next, and how badly he wants to "win" something.  Its not very clear, but there seem to be rumours starting.
For example, nobody knew what this meant today - if anything:
Or this: And there was this today as well:
Wow, how nuts is this? 
French President Marcon still maintains a schedule of frequent phone calls with Putin so at least someone is keeping tabs on him -- and come to think of it, that's what Marcon did with Trump, too! 
But I expect Putin is increasingly delusional now about how badly his war is going. Though I have disagreed with a lot of what former ambassador McFaul has recommended for this war, I think this is absolutely correct:
Talking Points Memo has an article up now covering various ways the war could get worse and escalate -  purposeful or accidental, expanding, economic, etc. Fred Kaplan at Slate thinks the "nightmarish stalemate" of this war is not likely to end soon. 
It frightens me very much that Biden is travelling to Europe this week -- I hope there will be a seriously large "no-fly zone" created all around Biden and Air Force One while he is there, and I hope Kamala Harris isn't going with him.

Canada is having an exciting time today too, discussing why Trudeau and Singh made their alliance. The conclusion seems to be that the FluTruxKlan, the border blockages, and the Ottawa Occupation convinced both Trudeau and Singh that Canada needed to find a better way to work for Canadians, and also the Russia Ukraine War demonstrated the world's need for strong and stable democracies.
I noticed during the election campaign last summer that Singh (between skateboard antics and shower scenes) would bash Trudeau personally, but Trudeau usually refrained from issuing personal slurs against Singh, Maybe that forbearance turned out to be helpful now as the two men worked to find common ground and achieve a level of mutual respect.
Canadians are glad to see this happening: On the funny side:
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Tuesday, March 22, 2022

Today's News: Patience

All in all, today I am seeing less panic and more patience as international affairs experts are able to develop a longer-term analysis of what Putin's War will mean for the world and how we might get through this.  People are, I think, starting to see what an end game could look like. 
Some of these long-form analysis articles are downthread. First of all tonight I wanted to start with this observation: 
One of the interesting things I am finding about this war is that there is always "some guy" doing tweets or posting blogs who really knows what he is talking about. 
These aren't usually professional journalists, just somebody with some expertise or experience, sharing the wealth with everyone. 
Like, for example, this guy Trent Telenko -- he knows a lot about how an army is supposed to maintain its equipment, and says the Russian army isn't doing it. 
Here's the end of his 17-tweet thread: And then there are people like Markos and Mark Sumner and Hunter at Daily Kos, who in one sense are just people with a blog, like me, but they have a profound knowledge of tactics, diplomacy, political science and international relations. Their posts point me to tweets like this one: Here's some good news: This is an incredible story about how the last two international journalists in Mariupol, from Associated Press, escaped the city. 
... We reached an entryway, and armored cars whisked us to a darkened basement. 
Only then did we learn from a policeman why the Ukrainians had risked the lives of soldiers to extract us from the hospital. 
 “If they catch you, they will get you on camera and they will make you say that everything you filmed is a lie,” he said. “All your efforts and everything you have done in Mariupol will be in vain.”  
The officer, who had once begged us to show the world his dying city, now pleaded with us to go. He nudged us toward the thousands of battered cars preparing to leave Mariupol. 
It was March 15. We had no idea if we would make it out alive. . . . 
With this war, it's sometimes hard to sort out what is an accurate critique of how badly the Russian military is performing, and what could be just wishful thinking that the Russians will somehow defeat themselves. 
But as the days and weeks go by, it seems that Ukraine is actually defeating the Russia invasion:
It was announced today that more than 10,000 Russian soldiers have died -- and western observers seemed to agree that this is an undercount, that likely at least twice that number have died, and more tens of thousands injured. 
I read a gruesome story today that Ukrainians are now digging up their trenches of Russian bodies in shallow graves and trading them to Russian units in exchange for their Ukrainian prisoners. 
Confirming what was discussed yesterday at Daily Kos, here is an excellent article in The Atlantic - Eliot A. Cohen Why Can’t the West Admit That Ukraine Is Winning? 
...pictures of shattered hospitals, dead children, and blasted apartment blocks accurately convey the terror and brutality of this war, but they do not convey its military realities. To put it most starkly: If the Russians level a town and slaughter its civilians, they are unlikely to have killed off its defenders, who will do extraordinary and effective things from the rubble to avenge themselves on the invaders. 
A very perceptive article today by David Rothkopf: U.S., Ukraine, NATO Have a Secret Weapon Against Russia: Patience. 
 How long is a night when you are huddled beneath a blanket on a subway station floor, holding your baby in your arms as missiles and bombs reduce the city over your head to rubble? . . . 
Time means something different in a war zone. 
It is more precious, more tortuous, more valuable, and more treacherous. 
When I spoke recently to a senior U.S. State Department official about the war in Ukraine, time was at the center of every point he made. It was the secret weapon of the Ukrainians and the greatest challenge they and their allies faced. 
Over time sanctions against the Russians would cause increasing pain. 
Over time mounting losses in Ukraine would generate ever greater opposition to Putin within his own country. . . . 
...we have to find a way to have patience. And he acknowledged the Russians knew that and that is why they were so determined to escalate attacks, to destroy cities, to inflict more pain on civilians. Because they knew that only if they did that they might force Ukraine to the negotiating table on favorable terms. . . . 
U.S. officials speculate that the threats of escalation are a strategy by Putin to force a settlement while he still has some leverage and can escape this conflict with something that he can tell his people was a “win” and worth the sacrifice. A protracted war is, at this point, at least in the view of the senior state department official with whom I spoke, not to Putin’s advantage. 
That is why he emphasized the importance of letting the strategy of supporting Ukraine’s fierce resistance while waging something like intense economic warfare against Russia, be given time to work. 
Here is another interesting analysis here, by a German foreign policy analyst: Delightful: And back to Canadian politics for this:
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Monday, March 21, 2022

Today's News: Slava Ukraini for Mariupol


In this photo, a mother at the Lviv train station embraces her son after he escaped Mariupol. (Photo by AP Bernat Armangue) The news today from Mariupol is terrible -- Ukraine has rejected Russia's demand that Mariupol surrender, so this brave proud city may be doomed.
At Balloon Juice, Adam Silverman describes why Putin wants to kill hundreds of thousands of people in Mariupol: 
Part of the reason that the Russians are so hell bent on taking Mariupol is that the Ukrainian forces defending it are the Azov Battalion. When the EuroMaidan revolt against Yanukovych began in 2014 one of the groups involved where a bunch of Ukrainian neo-fascists and neo-NAZIs who had their origins as a group in Soviet football hooliganism and ultimately evolved into a local self defense militia for lack of a better term. 
After Putin scarfed up the Donbas and Crimea these guys reorganized themselves into a battalion within Ukraine’s National Guard. While there have been attempts over the past several years to clean the neo-NAZIs and ultra-nationalists out of the battalion, with a 2015 estimate that only 10-20% of the members were neo-NAZIs, in order for them to receive training from the US, no one is sure how successful these efforts are. 
Regardless, the Azov Battalion is Putin’s prime evidence that Ukraine is full of NAZIs. And because they’ve been effective in fighting against his occupation of the Donbas, he wants them wiped out. 
Right now he has them, as well as over 300,000 civilians – not the 130,000 in the Russian ultimatum – trapped inside Mariupol. And he’s going to do whatever he can and whatever he thinks he can get away with to kill every last one of them. 
Most of this history is virtually unknown in the West, and it doesn't justify any of Putin's war crimes anyway. What people are seeing now is the horrendous, unwarranted destruction of a great city. 
The more death and destruction is endured by Ukraine, the angrier people around the world are getting. But what can we do? 
The Pope is speaking out too: At least in the rest of Ukraine, Russia is not advancing: Interesting analysis here, though its a little short on solutions -- as we all are these days: I continue to rely on Markos and Mark Sumner over at Daily Kos for their daily updates. 
I also appreciate the comments that Carlo Graziani is making over at Balloon Juice. Here's his comment tonight as everyone is waiting to see what happens to Mariupol:
 ... it seems likely that it’s going to get worse, and uglier, before it gets better. And the people who will be paying the price are Ukrainians, largely civilians. 
And we will be largely sitting on the sidelines, anxiously, raging, but limited in what we can do directly.
 It remains true that the Ukrainians are heroes, and tough, and show no sign of tiring of this fight despite the Russian’s appetite for brutality and terror. They are giving the Russian army a pitiless mauling, and there is no doubt that if the Russians were to occupy any part of Ukranian territory now, theit occupation would receive a worse treatment than the Yugoslavian partisans gave the Wermacht in the Second World War. 
We are going to have to remember where the guard rails are. There are thresholds we can’t pass, as enraging as that fact may be, because a NATO-Russia war can still burn down the world. 
But there is a lot that we can do that is useful below that threshold, such as massive weapons supply, intelligence support, and training. And keeping up, and increasing, sanctions pressure. None of this can alter current tactical situations, or — to put it less clinically — prevent the homicidal war-criminal toll of the Putinist offensive from climbing, for now. The truth is, nothing can. I hate writing this, but I believe that it is the truth. 
I wrote, a few weeks ago, that we’re in a slugging match, and that the main thing is to stay in it until the other guy falls down. That seems a bit glib to me now, because the people paying the price of staying in it are all Ukrainian. I am incredibly grateful for their willingness to fight on, and want to find every way to help them fight. But it’s going to be a long fight. 
Their fight is our fight. I really believe that. I don’t want this thing to end with Putin still hanging on to power. That son-of-a-bitch has been actively undermining our democratic institutions and dividing us from our allies for a decade. 
We need to take this once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to fuck him. Not find a compromise that lets up on the sanctions while letting Russia keep their Black Sea corridor because Great Powers Must Have their Interests Acknowledged. Fuck that realist noise. This is the real payback for January 6. Maximum pressure, until a can of cabbage costs $25 in Moscow. I want to see those Chekist assholes deal with food riots, and beg the Army to save them. 
The framework cannot be a compromise with Putin. It has to be a compromise with Russia, to move beyond Putinism. At this point, we should be prepared for a new Cold War, rather than tolerate that parasite sending us more Trumps. 
Finally, this is just heartwarming to see:
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Sunday, March 20, 2022

Today's News: An indominable spirit

Marcus Yam, LA Times

The Ukraine spirit is indominable - here's a photo by Marcus Yam, LA Times, of a soldier saluting his fellows near Kyiv.
Here's a fascinating BBC interview with a Canadian soldier about the kind of fighting the Ukraine army has been trained for -"what shines through is the will and determination and strength" of the Ukraine soldier: I'm happy to see this mother and baby safe now at a hospital in Kyiv, though her haunted eyes get to me:
I was looking up posts on the Mariupol Theatre tragedy today, and I found some bizarre "Mariupol-denial" stories floating around. 
I guess Russia's deliberate targeting of a marked shelter full of women and children was too much for even the most devoted Putin-supporter to stomach. So now there is a determined effort to deny it happened, to deflect it on to Ukraine, to turn the destruction into a lie, to claim the theatre was maybe blown up by retreating Ukraine soldiers or maybe didn't have any victims inside at all, that it was all crisis actors -- I'm not going to insert any of these tweets here, but I imagine we're going to be seeing lots more of these types of disgusting denial stories as Russian war crimes in Ukraine keep on happening.
By the way, here is something I have noticed:  while I am just as interested in what is happening in the Russia Ukraine War as I ever was, Twitter is moving on. 
The updates and news from Ukraine are getting more difficult to find as other events get tweeted about more often. So I have started my own list, My Russia Ukraine War List as a shorter reference of people whose tweets about the war I find to be the most useful or on point. I also follow other lists too: The Hoarse Whisperer's list Ukraine Coverage, and Josh Marshall's lists 2202 Ukraine Crisis and Ukraine Military Analysts. So these may be useful if you are also wanting more coverage.
I also follow Markos' posts at Daily Kos. Here's what he reports this afternoon:
We know that Ukraine has pushed Russian forces away from Mykolaiv in Southern Ukraine, and halted any hope Russia has of capturing the grand city of Odesa anytime soon. We also have seen confirmed that they’ve pushed out to Posad-Pokrovske, half the distance from Mykolaiv to Kherson, the largest Ukrainian city currently under Russian control. And that’s where things get murky. Because either Ukraine has pushed east and has opened up a 2-prong approach into Kherson, or all they’ve managed to do is create a little breathing room around Mykolaiv.
I get the impression it will take some time, maybe several more days, before anyone can determine whether Ukraine is actually "winning" this war, or just "not losing", and where this is happening. Rob Lee's thread today: Here's some other news: Here's something else I have noticed too: the vast difference between what the New York Times is reporting about this war, and what everyone else is reporting. If you read only the New York Times, it sounds like Russia is winning. But just about nobody else thinks so. Here's an interesting discussion about this: And back on this side of the pond: Bob Rae is doing Canada proud at the United Nations. Today he writes: Like an ancient dinosaur rising from a swamp, Newt Gingrich is trying to rear his ugly head again: And finally, we've all seen way too much of the instant geopolitical experts gracing us with their opinions, so I found this thread hilarious -- check it out:
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Saturday, March 19, 2022

Today's News: Pushing back

My heart: So this happened: The world rocked with laughter as the tweet went viral; only Russia was not amused. And I loved this response too: Checking the New York Times Ukraine map page, I see their conclusion that Russian forces are making advances in the eastern half of Ukraine: 
Ukrainian forces continue to hold off Russian advances near Kyiv, Kharkiv and in large parts of the South. Russian advances have been hindered by supply issues, with many units around the country pausing operations while they regroup. But in the east, Russian forces have made steady progress in recent days, moving west from the separatist-held territory of Donbas. 


But Markos at Daily Kos sees this somewhat differently. He analyzes the battles going on across the Ukraine and says the Ukraine Army is pushing back in the south west, aiming to push Russia back from Kherson and Melitopol  

The red arrow on the top left marks the furthest point of Russian advance, and Ukraine has now pushed the Russians back almost to Kherson. Kos writes: 
 Liberating Kherson would offer Ukraine a propaganda victory if immeasurable worth. The press is still afraid to question whether Russia is losing. That’s why we see headline after headline about Russia “pausing” and “resupplying” and “regrouping” and “reinforcing” and the like, instead of the more accurate “stuck in the mud.” Losing its biggest prize, Russia’s dire straits would be harder to hide. Meanwhile, the Ukrainian people would see tangible proof that the tide of the war was turning. 
A very interesting analysis of the battle as it is progressing. And here's another analysis from a retired army general Mark Hertling, which I found in a reference in the comments on the Markos post -- he also provides a very useful analysis, particularly for someone like me who knows nothing about military tactics:
Read the whole thread, but here are some key pieces: And here's more recent news: Everybody wants to contribute to Ukraine: Biden spent two hours talking about Ukraine and world issues with Xi: There are lots of tweets about what was said, but I liked this one: On a side note, this thread is hilarious:
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Friday, March 18, 2022

Today's News: Reality bites

Photos from the Russia Ukraine War are striking and memorable, so I am planning to post some daily.
This Reuters photo of a woman carrying her cat to safety is so beautiful it haunts me: Coincidentally, CNN's Brian Stelter and Oliver Darcy in their nightly email newsletter tonight highlighted the work of photographers throughout the Ukraine. Here are some of their links: 
 Associated Press: Inside Mariupol's devastation 
And some other photo essays here: 
 The Atlantic: Animals can be refugees too 

The world is so angry now at Putin and at Russia, it may not be possible anymore for everyone to just forgive and forget. 
But in Slate today, Tyler Austin Harper writes eloquently about the profound and tragic reality which we in the West now find ourselves facing - that there cannot be any heroes in a nuclear war. So yes, America and NATO can help Ukraine in many ways, but it can't fight the war for them, not without risking nuclear annihilation. And that reality could be a tragedy with no solution.
I worry that many of us expect this to be a modern story: one where good prevails, evil is vanquished, and the invaders are turned away at the city gates.... If the Ukraine crisis has brought anything into focus, it is that our national identity and our national interest are at odds... 
many—indeed most—of those Americans calling for a no-fly zone ...are simply people who cannot accept that, at a certain point, there is nothing more America can do. They are people who cannot believe there may come a time when we must contemplate letting Putin win, because the alternative would be to set Europe—and Ukraine with it—on thermonuclear fire. They are people who cannot bring themselves to understand that American heroism is in this instance impossible, that the price for our past sins—for the terrible bomb we invented that we alone have ever used in anger—is that the United States can no longer swoop in to save the day. 
We can send money, provide defensive supplies, and impose sanctions. We can make this war costly, in terms of international standing and economic stability, for Russia and its allies. But that is all we can do. And if it is not enough? Then that will be a nearly incomprehensible tragedy. 
But the alternatives are more incomprehensible, more tragic still. ...
The atomic genie shed its bottle in 1945, and it cannot be put back. The morally monochrome heroism of America’s past—the America that carried out a democratic revolution, that tore itself asunder to abolish slavery, that turned back the Third Reich—is no more. 
We can no longer risk everything in defense of our utmost values. That is the devil’s bargain we made when we dropped “Fat Man” and “Little Boy” on two Japanese cities, transposing human shadows onto concrete. 
This does not mean the heroism of American individuals is over ... [but] military heroism of America as a nation can no longer function in extremis. The stakes have become too unfathomable, and our very power has become our most profound weakness. 
So pray for the heroism of Ukrainians—pray that they can hold on, make do with what help the world can provide—but it is time we let go of the old American fantasy that there is no war we cannot win, no democracy we cannot save, no wrong we cannot right. 
Ukraine faces an enemy whose capacity for evil may well be greater than America’s capacity for good. That is a tragedy, but it is a tragedy we must learn to understand if we are not to stumble into a greater tragedy still, out of a misplaced faith in our own heroism. Much has changed in the world since 1945, but this fact has not: There are no heroes in a nuclear war. 
Biden knows all of this already, and so does Trudeau and the leaders of Europe. But its hard to figure out they are going to educate the public about this -- just look at the media hysteria yesterday in Canada over Joly's "convene" remark. And the number of people I see online slamming Biden for "doing nothing" because they still think its a movie, that the US can just send in the 82nd Airborne and win the war before the credits role. Sigh. Well meaning, but really.... That said, Putin is also facing a difficult reality, too -- he is losing the war in Ukraine. He fired another general today as his illegal war went from bad to worse, and Ukraine continues to battle back on several fronts: I see tweets about the upcoming NATO meeting, and the expectation that NATO can figure out what more can be done -- I hope so, but I guess I just can't see anything yet:
Another big question is where China will land in all this: At Daily Kos, Mark Sumner is talking about the Russia Ukraine War as the first war where new kinds of weapons are being used to attack enemy positions: 
 In just three weeks of combat, Ukraine has become not just a war zone, but a laboratory. On the one hand, Russia is using the same tactics of brutality, and the same weapons, that it has deployed for decades to destroy cities and persecute its invasion. On the other hand, Ukraine is defending itself with an arsenal that increasingly depends on weapons designed to take down armor and aircraft. Where Ukraine has been less successful is in degrading Russia’s ability to inflict brutality to civilian areas — but systems like Switchblade might well help with that. Because while a soldier with a rifle can’t do anything about artillery firing from woods five miles away, a soldier with a Switchblade definitely can.
 Other news today, the world continues to figure out how it can help: And the latest news is that 130 people have been rescued now from the Maruipol theatre bombing.
Finally, I'll bet very few people knew this before: Obama should have done it. 
And this also happened today:
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