Wow!
Alberta MP Matt Jeneroux has joined the Liberal caucus, making him the third Conservative MP to break with his party since November – a move that puts the Carney government on the cusp of a majority.But what everyone is talking about tonight isn't Carney's success in (almost) achieving a majority government, but rather Pierre Poilievre's weakened leadership.
Though they now hold 169 seats in the House of Commons, the Liberals are expected to pick up two more when by-elections are called in two safe Liberal ridings.
To attain a majority government, they would still need a seat in addition to those two. They have a chance to secure one in a third by-election, set to be called in the Quebec riding of Terrebonne. But the Liberal candidate won there by just a single vote in last April’s elections. The Supreme Court recently annulled that result, making the by-election necessary.
Another path to a majority could come about if Prime Minister Mark Carney recruits another MP from a rival party to join his caucus.
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