Wednesday, November 20, 2024

Today's News: Calling out Dear Leader


CBC calls out the Conservatives version of "freedom":

Christian Noel / CBC
Poilievre's office maintains tight control over what Conservative MPs say and do
Party staffers monitor caucus for signs of message indiscipline and fraternization with other MPs
After two years of Pierre Poilievre as their leader, many Conservative MPs say they are much less free now than they were before his arrival.
The man who promised during his leadership run to make Canada "the freest country in the world" maintains tight control over the actions of his caucus members.
Normally loquacious Conservatives close up like oysters and dare not speak without their leader's approval. MPs are watched by Conservative staffers both inside and outside Parliament. Elected representatives are publicly called to order for deviating from the party line.
Conservative MPs' words and actions are closely scrutinized by the leader's office. Partisanship is encouraged. Fraternizing with elected officials from other parties is a no-no.
Those who follow these rules are rewarded. Those who don't often have to suffer consequences.
"There are always multiple people in the penalty box, there is always someone in trouble," one caucus member said.
"You don't need to be told what to do. You watch the leader and understand what's expected from you," one Conservative source said.
The further you get into this article, the creepier it gets:
"You are celebrated in front of the entire caucus for being a good cheerleader. And you get more speaking time in the House and during question period."
Those who refuse to parrot the lines lose their speaking time, another source added.
It's radio silence at the entrance to Conservative caucus meetings these days. Every Wednesday morning, journalists throw questions at the arriving MPs. Almost all of them pass without answering; some avoid making eye contact with journalists.
... Conservative Party staffers keep a close eye on MPs' activities — who's talking to reporters, who's deviating from the party line, who's fraternizing with MPs from other parties. Journalists have spotted party staffers taking notes and sources say these activities are reported to the leader's office.
"Everybody is being watched. What we say, what we do, who we talk to. We're told not to fraternize with MPs from the other parties. And that's not normal," a Conservative source said.
...Conservative staffers monitor MPs' interactions not only in the Commons chamber but also in the corridors of Parliament and at social events such as the Press Gallery dinner and the Speaker's garden party.
Poilievre's press attaché was even spotted jotting down the names of Conservative MPs attending the Press Gallery dinner this spring. It's an event that Poilievre — who has strained relations with the Parliamentary Press Gallery — and most of his MPs have avoided for the past two years.
"We don't get told not to go, but we can see that the leader doesn't go, so we do the same. Otherwise, it would be frowned upon," said one Conservative source.
...Poilievre imposes iron discipline on himself. He works hard. He works late.
"We've been telling him for months that he needs to take a vacation, but he just won't listen," one source said.
"He's the one who decides everything. His main adviser is himself … The people around him are only there to realize the leader's vision."
..."There's a very small circle around the leader. There's a lack of variety of opinion. That's our biggest challenge," said a Conservative source.
It will be Canada's challenge too, if Poilievre ever becomes PM. 

Tuesday, November 19, 2024

Today's Roundup: Trudeau, Stoehr, Fallows, Sullivan, Wellman, plus a few tweets/posts



Following up from my post last week, I have been seeing more commentary lately which discuss misinformation and disinformation as the main problem that progressives now have in getting their messages out to the public. Several of the items I found for this Roundup talk about this issue too.
But first, Canadians need to see much more of this, please:

Why Canada is changing its immigration system! PM Trudeau released a nearly seven-minute video on YouTube Sunday talking about the recent reduction in permanent residents being admitted to Canada and changes to the temporary foreign worker program. youtube.com/watch?v=vOB7...

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— JaroGiesbrecht (@jarogiesbrecht.bsky.social) November 17, 2024 at 4:31 PM
Shorter:

Sunday, November 17, 2024

Today's News: Does Poilievre think he can bring a knife to a gun fight?


So Poilievre thinks bluster and combativeness will intimidate Trump? 
Or is he just trying to impress Canadians by boasting about what a great fighter he would be for the Canadian economy - you know, the economy he has been calling a disaster for the last year.
But his threat to "fight fire with fire" is a hollow one, it isn't going to impress Americans much -- it will, in fact, likely end up making it harder on Canadian industries trying to survive the Trump Apocalypse. 
I suspect Ford has already been on the phone to PP to tell him to stop.

"Poilievre said he'd end those duties but wouldn’t say how." The usual crap from PP - make promises but never explain how. The man who runs away from reporters asking tough questions now vows to stand up to Trump & “fight fire with fire”. Anybody buying that? globalnews.ca/news/1087240...

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— CdnJean (@cdnjean.bsky.social) November 15, 2024 at 8:39 PM
Trudeau and the federal Liberals are already fighting hard for Canada -- not with bombast but with strategy
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says talks at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Peru have been dominated by worries about how to navigate Donald Trump's return to the White House...
Trudeau is one of few world leaders who was also in power during Trump's first administration, and he says his message to his colleagues is to emphasize the "win-wins" of trade deals....
Trudeau also says Trump asked him specifically about Canada's approach to trading with China when the pair spoke last week, and says he highlighted new tariffs on Chinese goods.
And when Trudeau phoned his congratulations to Trump, he kept the tone warm and friendly, not combative:
Trudeau told Trump how his father had been defeated in an election before winning one shortly after — an anecdote to which Trump responded positively.

Saturday, November 16, 2024

Happening Now: a Liberal turn-around?


As Canada hunkers down to survive another Canadian winter, we may be starting to see some signs of a turn-around in Liberal fortunes. Liberals are trending a little higher in the polls:

(Support me by subscribing/donating) Federal Polling: CPC: 39% (+5) LPC: 29% (-5) NDP: 17% (-1) BQ: 7% (-1) GPC: 5% (+3) PPC: 3% (-2) Others: 2% EKOS / Nov 11, 2024 / n=1241 / MOE 2.8% / IVR (% Change With 2021 Federal Election) Check federal details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com

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— Polling Canada (@canadianpolling.bsky.social) November 12, 2024 at 3:27 PM
Trudeau is able to remind Canadians now what a good job his government did in dealing with Trump 2016-2020, and would do again:

When I was researching my book on Trudeau, I was impressed by how broad the coalition was that helped Trudeau maintain our trade relationship with during Trump 1.0. 1/x

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— Stephen Maher (@stephenmaher.bsky.social) November 15, 2024 at 8:14 AM

Friday, November 15, 2024

Canada v. Trump: The "Revenge Tour" begins


Well, that didn't last long, did it? 
As much as I truly want to deny Trump any space in my head or in this blog, its just not going to be possible. 
I'm calling this presidency "Trump 2: The Revenge Tour" as his Cabinet appointments bring his priorities into focus, pointing toward some of the problems Canada will need to face during Trump's presidency: 
- how will we help thousands (or tens of thousands) of refugees escaping Trump's concentration camps? 
- how will we defend our resources of water, oil, and minerals from Trump's greedy grasp? 
- how will we support our industries to survive Trump's tariffs? 
- how can we avoid being sucked into Trump's wars? 

The CBC's weekly At Issue panel discussion last night discussed Trump. Naturally, Rosemary Barton trotted out the "well, we survived 2016 to 2020, didn't we" and Chantal Hebert shut that down right quick - she said there will not be any comparison between the path Canada was able to take in 2016 to slide through the first Trump administration, and the existential threat to the nation that we now will face with the second Trump administration. Specifically, the panel talked about the likely refugee crisis at the US border, but they didn't have any idea how Canada could or should handle it, except to agree that the "safe third country agreement" is now ludicrous. 

Thursday, November 14, 2024

Today's News: Learning from the American nightmare


If we are going to save liberalism in Canada -- the federal Liberals and maybe even Justin Trudeau also -- then we have to reach Canadians and tell them the story of what Liberalism is. 
The more we learn about what went wrong with the Harris campaign, the more people are realizing that the Democrats have abysmal communications -- yes, Harris is a black woman, a disadvantage hard to overcome in a racist and misogynistic society - but mainly the Democratic brain-trust running her campaign didn't seem to realize that too many Americans had heard four solid years of lies about awful Democrats and Biden-bashing from their media sources, and a few enthusiastic rallys on television were not going to reverse that perception.

Kamala Harris didn't campaign on pronouns or white privilege or defunding the police. So why does it feel like she did?

— DougJBalloon (@nytpitchbot.bsky.social) November 12, 2024 at 9:19 AM
 

Wednesday, November 13, 2024

Today's News: Canadafornia, and other ways to survive the Trumpocalypse


As we watch the United States take a right turn and go sailing off the Trump cliff, I have been looking for articles and tweet threads that give advice on what for God's sake we can do about it. 
Here's the initial batch that I found: 

First of all, there might be something to this plan:

I could live there if Mr. Trudeau would rescue us.

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— segsig.bsky.social (@segsig.bsky.social) November 12, 2024 at 9:59 PM
And here are some other, mostly serious, ideas for surviving Trump.

Tuesday, November 12, 2024

Stories from the Internet: Two Horses' Asses

"Stories from the Internet" is an occasional series.
Here's a story I saw on Facebook: 

The US standard railroad gauge (distance between the rails) is 4 feet, 8.5 inches. That's an exceedingly odd number. Why was that gauge used? 
Well, because that's the way they built them in England, and English engineers designed the first US railroads. 
Why did the English build them like that? Because the first rail lines were built by the same people who built the wagon tramways, and that's the gauge they used. 
So, why did 'they' use that gauge then? Because the people who built the tramways used the same jigs and tools that they had used for building wagons, which used that same wheel spacing. 
Why did the wagons have that particular odd wheel spacing? Well, if they tried to use any other spacing, the wagon wheels would break more often on some of the old, long distance roads in England . You see, that's the spacing of the wheel ruts. 
So who built those old rutted roads? Imperial Rome built the first long distance roads in Europe (including England ) for their legions. Those roads have been used ever since. 
And what about the ruts in the roads? Roman war chariots formed the initial ruts, which everyone else had to match or run the risk of destroying their wagon wheels. Since the chariots were made for Imperial Rome , they were all alike in the matter of wheel spacing. 
Therefore the United States standard railroad gauge of 4 feet, 8.5 inches is derived from the original specifications for an Imperial Roman war chariot. 
Bureaucracies live forever. So the next time you are handed a specification/procedure/process and wonder 'What horse's ass came up with this?', you may be exactly right. Imperial Roman army chariots were made just wide enough to accommodate the rear ends of two war horses. (Two horses' asses.) 
Now, the twist to the story: When you see a Space Shuttle sitting on its launch pad, there are two big booster rockets attached to the sides of the main fuel tank. These are solid rocket boosters, or SRBs. The SRBs are made by Thiokol at their factory in Utah . The engineers who designed the SRBs would have preferred to make them a bit fatter, but the SRBs had to be shipped by train from the factory to the launch site. 
The railroad line from the factory happens to run through a tunnel in the mountains, and the SRBs had to fit through that tunnel. The tunnel is slightly wider than the railroad track, and the railroad track, as you now know, is about as wide as two horses' behinds. 
So, a major Space Shuttle design feature, of what is arguably the world's most advanced transportation system, was determined over two thousand years ago by the width of a horse's ass. 
And you thought being a horse's ass wasn't important? Ancient horse's asses control almost everything.

Monday, November 11, 2024

Today's News: Canada remembers.


The Taking of Vimy Ridge, Easter Monday 1917 by Richard Jack
...Supported by a creeping barrage, the Canadian Corps captured most of the ridge during the first day. The village of Thélus fell during the second day, as did the crest of the ridge, once the Canadian Corps overran a salient against considerable German resistance. The final objective, a fortified knoll outside the village of Givenchy-en-Gohelle, fell to the Canadians on 12 April. The German 6th Army then retreated to the Oppy–Méricourt line.
Historians attribute the success of the Canadian Corps to technical and tactical innovation, meticulous planning, powerful artillery support and extensive training, as well as the inability of the 6th Army to properly apply the new German defensive doctrine. The battle was the first occasion when the four divisions of the Canadian Expeditionary Force fought together and it was made a symbol of Canadian national achievement and sacrifice. ..
...By nightfall on 12 April 1917, the Canadian Corps was in firm control of the ridge, having suffered 10,602 casualties; 3,598 men had been killed and 7,004 wounded...

Sunday, November 10, 2024

Today's News: Refugees, and kindness

Remember this? 

That terrible photo of Alan Kurdi, age 3, washed up on a beach in Turkey when he and his family tried to escape Syria in 2015. That little drowned child is one of the main reasons Harper lost the 2015 election. Canadians were saddened and shocked to find out that maybe we could have saved him, because his aunt lived in Coquitlam. I have never forgotten that photo, and neither has the rest of Canada. 

 And here's another one, from two years later:


A luckier child finds help from a kind RCMP as her family runs across the border in 2017, escaping from Trump to claim refugee status. These types of irregular border crossing have been shut down now, apparently, though I suspect we'll see an increase in desperate people now that Trump is president again. 
And I expect that once again, Canadians will react with kindness.  Today I saw this story:

Saturday, November 09, 2024

Walking away from Trump's America


Well, I don't know if this feeling is just my own, or something others share. 
But I realized today that I just don't care what Donald Trump does anymore. 
In his first administration, every day there was a "he said WHAT??" news story and a "he's really THAT STUPID???" analysis story, and it was just exhausting.
This time, everybody already knows he is a stupid, cruel, ignorant, and violent man, profoundly undeserving of the office to which Americans elected him. He will continue to be an asshole, his administration will be a shitshow, and millions of Americans will suffer because of it, including the people who voted for him. 
But I just can't care anymore. 
So I have unsubscribed tonight from several substacks and columns. It doesn't really matter to me who the new Secretary of State might be, nor am I interested in Trump's pick for chief of staff or attorney general or head of the CIA any of the other make-weights and incompetents and grifters who will foul his administration. Obamacare repeal, tarriffs and tax cuts for the rich will mash the American economy. Hurricanes and fires and floods will strike with escalating fury and the federal government won't send help anymore. No point in getting outraged about any of it. So it doesn't matter to me anymore whether the Democrats keep the House (likely not) nor do I care whether scattered American mayors and governors will fight the good fight against Trump - maybe they can do something, or maybe they'll just get themselves arrested for not bending the knee.
So tonight I'm walking away from Trump's America. The country I care about is Canada. And the issues that concern me now are how our country can survive the end of American democracy. 
Posting about all of this will be quite enough to keep me busy. In fact, there will likely be very little else of greater importance over the next decade than this battle all Canadians will have to fight -- to stand on guard for Canada, and to keep our Canada glorious and free.

Friday, November 08, 2024

Today's News: More comments on the Trump election - Jonathan Chait, Tom Scocca, Cooper Lund, Jimmy Kimmel, Mark Hamill, and Black Cloud Six


More comments about why the Trump election happened, and how to (maybe) survive it:

New York magazine,
Jonathan Chait: Trump’s ‘Unprecedented and Powerful Mandate’ Is a Lie Do not surrender in advance.
...There is a quadrennial tradition in American politics for the winning party to insist its victory amounts to an endorsement of its entire platform by the American public, while the opponents chalk the results up to personality or fleeting events.
In part, the mandate talk reflects this familiar ritual. In the big picture, Trump won because literally every opposition party running for office anywhere in the world is winning right now. Every single governing party in the developed world that has stood for reelection in 2024 has lost, the Financial Times notes. This has never happened before in the 120 years of data it has followed.
Trump exploited economic discontent and, just as he did eight years before, will almost certainly rebrand the economic recovery he inherits as a booming wonderland of prosperity. The program that Trump claims America voted to implement is a combination of promises Trump never had the slightest intention of fulfilling (no taxes on tips or overtime pay), promises Trump will probably try to implement in some form but would be catastrophic if carried out in full (funding the government through tariffs, deporting every illegal migrant or asylum seeker), and promises Trump rarely talks about but will almost certainly pursue (giving rich people a huge tax cut, reducing health-care subsidies for the poor and people with preexisting conditions). The mandate rhetoric is in part a traditional effort to gull the opposition party into withholding criticism and treating the enactment of the president’s plans as a natural outcome of the election.
Yet the 2024 version of the mandate question has far more serious overtones because Trump’s highest priority has nothing to do with policy. Trump has made it plain that his highest priority in office is to take revenge upon his enemies and intimidate his critics. ...
... It is both the nature of human life in general and democracy in particular that sometimes bad guys win. Winning does not make them cease to be bad.
Never forget that, regardless of what he wants to do or tries to do, Trump will be utterly incompetent at his job, and will hire incompetent people too:

I keep saying this to remind myself it's real, since not one person in the legacy media mentioned this at all in the past year, but HE QUIT ON THE JOB LAST TIME, he gave up on bumbling through thing after thing he couldn't handle, just wrote "EXECUTIVE TIME" on the calendar, and watched TV all day

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— Tom Scocca (@tomscocca.bsky.social) November 7, 2024 at 8:27 PM
Of course, being incompetent also makes it easier for the Bannons of the world to manipulate him. But still, at least this time the American media and civil service won't be giving him or his flying monkeys the benefit of the doubt. "Slow-walk" may well be the word of the next four years. 

Thursday, November 07, 2024

Today's News: What the hell happened, and what will happen next?

Here are some tweets and comments and blog posts, reading the tea leaves.

The election: 
No More Mister Nice Blog Steve M Trump is toxically masculine...
...Trump is seen by millions as a capable problem-solver because most Americans experienced at least the first three years of his presidency as a reasonably nice time, and because decades ago he was the main character in fictionalized books and a fake reality TV series that told us he has the magic power to make great deals without breaking a sweat. They don't know that he knows nothing and that he lucked into a good economy, and that he presided over a sustained period of relative stability because he'd surrounded himself with capable people of a kind he'll never hire again....

Wednesday, November 06, 2024

Oh, dear....America has just Brexited itself



And the impact of a Trump win on Canada is incalculable -- on tarrifs, cross-border manufacturing, refugees, Ukraine, Gaza, NATO...

Tuesday, November 05, 2024

Hope!


Beautiful photo of (I hope) President Harris and the First Gentleman.

 

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