Thursday, October 15, 2026

Blame Canada? Sounds like Trump is going to target us when he loses the Mid-Terms



Since Canada walked away from the trade negotiations in August, I think we've been mostly focused on our own Canadian affairs - the provincial elections in Quebec and in BC, the referendum vote in Alberta, the mayoral races here and there, the Pacific Link pipe line, port and infrastructure project  developments, the bike lanes in Toronto, legislation debates in parliament, whether the Jays could make it to the post-season.
So it was startling for me to realize this week that Canada might well end up playing a starring role in the US Mid-Term elections. And not in a good way.
We're being set up to be the bad guys!


Just when things can’t get anymore stupid, the US ambassador says he is monitoring Canada for election interference. Are we going to get blamed if there is a blue wave in the midterms? If they lose the Midterms get ready for them blame it on Canada.

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— 🍁🇨🇦Team Canada Forever🇨🇦🍁 (@teamcanadaforever.bsky.social) October 15, 2026 at 6:29 AM

Lyin' Pete Hoekstra has actively undermined in our nation to destroy our sovereignty. But Canadian officials never called him out. So now he is claiming we are somehow interfering in Trump land. He is setting the stage to blame Canada for the shit show at the mid-terms. youtube.com/shorts/b_B3M...

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— Charlie Angus (@charlieangus104.bsky.social) October 15, 2026 at 11:28 AM
Seeing how easily Trump lied to his MAGA crowd the other day about "our Greenland" made me realize that any deal Canada ever signs with him will be just as likely to be mischaracterized as "our Canada" AKA Guam North.

Trump on Canada: "They'll end up being the 51st state because that's the only way it works ... they'll be doing something. Just like Greenland."

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) October 14, 2026 at 2:55 PM
Kevin Boucher gives us this summary
...On Wednesday, at a campaign rally in Bullhead City, Arizona, Trump said Canada will “end up being the 51st state, because that’s the only way it works.” Then he reached for a comparison. “They’ll be doing something just like Greenland,” he said, adding that it “just adds to our beautiful plate.”
The same week, the American ambassador to Canada, Pete Hoekstra, told a podcast that U.S. officials are watching Canadian politicians for signs of election interference. His warning was blunt: if some of what Canada is doing “becomes election interference, America will respond to it.”
...Trump does things symbolically, for his own base, whether or not they deliver anything material. And he moves in small steps. Each step makes the next one feel normal. [U of Chicago PoliSci prof Robert Pape] calls it a ratchet. You touch the stove, and instead of learning not to touch it, you grow thicker skin for the next time it’s hotter.
...Punish resistance, reward loyalty, claim the win, take the next small step...
That is the clearest explanation yet for why Canada can’t simply sign its way out of this. Greenland got a deal. The deal was followed, within a month, by the president describing the island as his. If a signature buys a few weeks of quiet before the next demand, then the question for Canada was never whether we can get a deal. It’s what the deal would be worth the day after.
...So here is the inference, and I want to be clear that it’s mine. Two foreign governments [Canada and Iran] have now been positioned as election meddlers before a single vote has been counted. If Republicans lose the House or the Senate, the explanation is already sitting on the shelf. Former Canadian diplomat Colin Robertson said this week he wouldn’t be surprised if Trump blames Canada should Republicans lose....
...Canada has already been through the full cycle once. We were punished before the Davos speech and before the Reagan ad. The tariffs came first. The 51st state came first. Good behaviour didn’t prevent any of it, and a signature didn’t protect Greenland for even a month.
The process is the punishment, and it’s designed to be watched. The lesson Washington wants the others to learn is that resistance is expensive.
The lesson the evidence actually teaches is that compliance is too, and you get nothing for it.
Its a topic of discussion now across the country. Sometimes with a little snark:

Joël-Denis Bellavance on Pete Hoekstra complaining about foreign interference: "I'm shocked. I didn't know that Mélanie Joly, François-Philippe Champagne, and Dominic LeBlanc had so much influence in the United States."

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— Scott Robertson (@sarobertson.bsky.social) October 15, 2026 at 5:42 PM
But mostly we are cautiously concerned, I think.
I keep seeing phrasing like "IF Trump loses the Mid-Terms..." and "IF the House and Senate turn Democratic..." Actually, there is no doubt about it - the House is gone, gone, gone, and likely the Senate too.

national polling: things are very bad for republicans state polling: things are very bad for republicans district level and internal polling, apparently: we have broken the fifth seal and the apocalypse is nigh

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— Micah (@rincewind.run) October 15, 2026 at 12:23 PM
And after everything else these jerks have done - fighting stupid wars, losing all their Middle East military bases, screwing up international trade, pandering to fascists, creating ICE and Concentration Camps, building needless ballrooms, destroying Washington, buying airplanes, etc etc - turns out Americans are reaching their gag limit because of Trump's gold-leaf corruption and greed.

It’s not just about affordability. Maybe for the first time since 1974, voters say their main concern heading into the midterms is corruption in government. Great to see.

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— Ron Filipkowski (@ronfilipkowski.bsky.social) October 15, 2026 at 9:27 AM

So this guy bribes a governor to kill an investigation into his bank, gets convicted, and his daughter bribes Trump to get him pardoned. With any other president, impeachment. With Trump, not even a headline. www.washingtonpost.com/investigatio...

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— Dan Froomkin/Press Watch/Heads Up News (@froomkin.bsky.social) October 15, 2026 at 9:05 AM
In The Editorial Board, journalist John Stoehr describes Trump's new Guilded Age:
...The president knocked down the East Wing in a fit of rage after No Kings, the biggest protest in American history. Then he solicited "donations" for a renovation no one wanted, no one approved, no one consented to. The "donations" were really "pay for play," a cute name for bribery. Rich individuals and global conglomerates paid for favors from the president, including pardons, the cash being laundered through a shady nonprofit that tried to whitewash their identities. Compounding the injury is Trump's apparent plan to inflate the budget, keep the "donations" for himself, and stick the American people with the bill.
... The AP found that "as Trump’s family business pulls in record money from new ventures helped by his policies," about 60 percent believe he is "either illegally profiting or doing something unethical but not illegal." Over half believe he has privileged his financial interests "a lot" since returning to the White House. Just 10 percent think he is focused “a lot” on them. It appears that Americans are increasingly connecting the dots. It's not just that they are struggling to make ends meet. It's that Trump's choices are the reason for that struggle. A new Fox poll has the president's approval at just 36 percent. That's four points lower than George W Bush's was this time during his second term, the month before his party was wiped out. The GOP lost both chambers of the Congress in the 2006 midterms.
...About today's "robber barons."
They include leaders of household brands: Microsoft, Apple, Google. Donald Trump has been bestowed with immunity, but the Supreme Court did not bestow it on them. In the future, if they cannot be prosecuted for bribery, their firms are exposed, potentially, to either furious government oversight or the hammer of antitrust law. They're all monopolies. They're all illegal in one way or another. The coming backlash is going to be against them, too.
Its clear that Canada needs to distance itself from America however and wherever we can, because they have demonstrated now that they cannot be trusted.

Another warning for @mark-carney.bsky.social . Taking the F-35 under these conditions - even before Trump's betrayal of Ukraine - is madness #cdnpoli #Gripen #Canada

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— Scott Tribe -A proud "Ketchup Chip Nationalist" member (@stribeprogblog.bsky.social) October 15, 2026 at 1:39 PM

Also worth noting- Canada now realizes our vulnerability in any "alignment" with the US, which most of us would never have understood or opposed before Trump.

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— Cathie from Canada🍁 (@cathiecanada.bsky.social) October 15, 2026 at 8:03 PM

Canada Puts the UH-60M Black Hawk Helicopters Order on Hold. America Has Nobody to Blame but Itself - Oct 15, 2026 open.substack.com/pub/guardthe... Canada's Black Hawk Deal Is on Hold. youtu.be/vH1lOH_78-Q?... Why should Canadians trust Washington with equipment we'll depend on for decades??

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— Robert Smith 🇨🇦 (@grumpygeek4sure.bsky.social) October 15, 2026 at 2:08 PM
We now have the example of how easy it was for Musk to obey Trump's orders and cut off Starlink/Spaceshield in Ukraine

Q: Europe has paid a lot of money for Starlink and Starshield for Ukraine. Do Americans just get to turn it on or off when they want to? Mette Frederiksen: If they want to protect NATO, if they want to protect Europe, it has to stay open.

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— Scott Robertson (@sarobertson.bsky.social) October 15, 2026 at 6:19 PM

Yes!

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— Cheryl Rofer (@cherylrofer.bsky.social) October 15, 2026 at 8:23 AM
Phillips O'Brien notes that Saudi Arabia is being attacked by the Houthis and has also been abandoned by the US.
So is our Canadian government worried? Well, maybe, but if so they're not knuckling under
Carney gave a terrific speech in Calgary tonight, and I just wanted to share a couple of excerpts:

Mark Carney: "There are some outside our borders who are working to break us so they can own us."

- Scott Robertson

Read on Substack

The crowd absolutely erupts when Carney says the Pacific Link pipeline will reduce Canada's dependence on the U.S. Mark Carney: "Careful. They might think that's election interference. They're a little touchy down there. We're not. We're getting on with it." Courtesy of Scott Robertson.

- #Francesk🇨🇦

Read on Substack

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