Remember during the spring and summer, when everyone was talking about how federal and provincial politicians were all getting along so well.
Too good to last. Now that Poilievre is back, the debate in the House is deteriorating again. He just has nothing to say, but he says it at the top of his lungs.
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"I don't know where to begin" The PM calls out PP. Entire video: vm.tiktok.com/ZMAfVaV2F/
— Jeff's Fact Checker (@thunderbayed.bsky.social) September 24, 2025 at 1:06 PM
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Interesting article here too by pollster David Coletto:
David Coletto / Toronto Star (Gift link)
I still don't think Poilievre has the chops to be able to think through an issue quickly, anticipate the problems it causes, and come up with a strategy to deal with it. A recent example is that proposed ostrich cull in BC that keeps getting delayed by the courts - if Poilievre allows his MPs to get tangled up in rural BC politics plus to disrespect a government agency that is only trying to protect Canadian poultry producers from bird flu spread, then Poilievre may find himself in trouble:
Mark Carney became PM because he reassured Canadians. Pierre Poilievre still can’t help unsettling us
... if I were Poilievre, I would want another election sooner rather than later. Economic conditions may worsen, eroding Carney’s glow. But other crises loom, none bigger than the threat of Quebec separation.
The Parti Québécois is on track to win the next provincial election. Its leader has pledged to hold a referendum within his first mandate. That means within three years, Canada could once again face a national unity crisis. And in that environment, Canadians will not seek disruption. They will seek reassurance. They will look to the leader who offers calm, stability and protection against disintegration. That plays into Carney’s hand.
The longer Poilievre waits, the greater the risk that the demand side of politics shifts even further away from his supply. Timing is everything.
I don’t know Poilievre well. I’ve only spoken with him a handful of times. But from what I’ve seen, disruption is not just his tactic, it is his identity. He is the Disruptor-in-Chief.
That may be an asset in certain moments. It may even have been the right posture in the years leading up to 2025. But in today’s Canada, a country caught between economic strain, Trump’s aggression and looming constitutional uncertainty, disruption is not what most people say they want. They want protection. They want assurance. They want calm hands....
I still don't think Poilievre has the chops to be able to think through an issue quickly, anticipate the problems it causes, and come up with a strategy to deal with it. A recent example is that proposed ostrich cull in BC that keeps getting delayed by the courts - if Poilievre allows his MPs to get tangled up in rural BC politics plus to disrespect a government agency that is only trying to protect Canadian poultry producers from bird flu spread, then Poilievre may find himself in trouble:
— Daniel O 🇨🇦 🏳️🌈 (@dan60-mjo.bsky.social) September 24, 2025 at 9:57 PM
The ostrich farm case has been a convoy-esque descent into sovereign citizen/virus denial/anti-police/anti-government cult stuff, so watch who lends their support.
— Bruce Arthur (@brucearthur.bsky.social) September 26, 2025 at 11:35 AM
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6 comments:
I wouldn't worry too much about the PQ forming government. Their leader is high in the polls only because Legault's CAQ is so hugely unpopular. Their sovereignty option is only supported by about a third of the population. The provincial Liberals are just gathering steam under new leader Rodriguez (a Trudeau Liberal transplant).
Yeah, while the PQ are the sovereignty party, they are also traditionally considered more left of centre. The CAQ is a more right wing party than the Quebecois are used to, and a lot of Quebecois may be somewhat aghast if the CAQ has actually been DOING right wing things. So not too surprising if they're turning back towards the PQ; doesn't necessarily mean they want separation.
In the end, the PQ's problem is they already solved the major problems they were formed to solve. Back in the 70s they identified a lot of problems for Quebec in terms of ability to run their own stuff and maintain their cultural identity and so on--very real problems. And their position was that these problems couldn't really be solved from within Canada, so the solution was to leave. Then they got elected and did a bunch of stuff in government that . . . mostly solved the problems from within Canada. So nobody feels the need for their main solution. (They didn't solve ALL the problems, but then an actual sovereign Quebec operating within a neoliberal matrix wouldn't be able to solve them either--they'd be at least as constrained outside Canada)
Interesting to learn something about what is happening in Quebec. Thanks
Not only the PQ but also the Quebec Liberal Party, particularly under Bourassa. Now the CAQ has taken things too far on the xenophobic front. I think PPSP is a lightweight who thinks he's next in line for the Premiership but will be shown up by Rodriguez in the campaign next year.
Plg, your succinct summary is worthy of a Professor of Canadian History. Do you recall the recently departed Graeme Decarie? He had a blog in his golden days, but sadly, it seems to have been deleted.
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