We don't know when this war will end. But whenever it is, we are now 18 days closer.Zelensky’ late-night address: Day 17 of the war is over. “The Russian invaders cannot conquer us. They do not have such strength. They do not have such spirit. They rely only on violence. Only on terror. Only on weapons, of which they have a lot.” pic.twitter.com/N0DoBPyVmZ
— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) March 13, 2022
Ukraine’s lead negotiator says Russia is “looking far more properly” at the situation and thinks they may reach “concrete results” in the next few days.
— Patrick Reevell (@Reevellp) March 13, 2022
He says Russia has stopped making “ultimatums”. https://t.co/f2KCcYTloe
Ukraine: "You wanna surrender yet?"
— Tansy Kelly Robson (@Artemisapphire) March 13, 2022
Russians: "Niet"
(Tractor rolls past window dragging yet another tank)
Ukraine: "Really sure?"
Russians: "Bear with. Just gonna make a call"
They will definitely try to take Kyiv before some serious talks. Or at least to circle UAF in the estern part. They prepare for it and they always back up negotioations with brutal attacks. No reason this time it should be different.
— Виктор Банев (@VictuarBanev) March 13, 2022
The thing that must be concentrating his mind now is Kyiv. He has two choices. The first is to try and level one of the most important cities in history, with huge emotional importance to Russians as well as Ukrainians.
— Phillips P. OBrien (@PhillipsPOBrien) March 13, 2022
Russia is now desperate enough to start asking China for help. And I don't think anyone knows what China will do. Historically China tries to back winners, not losers:Of course the details of the deal are tricky.
— Phillips P. OBrien (@PhillipsPOBrien) March 13, 2022
Here's an interesting analysis by Hunter over at Daily Kos (By the way, Kos has become one site I am checking every day for its Ukraine news and analysis - it is excellent.) Anyway, today Hunter notes the news about Russia wanting help from China likely originated from US Intelligence, to put both Russia and China on an uncomfortable spot:New: Russia has asked China for military assistance in Ukraine, a senior US official tells me. Moscow’s request includes drones.
— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) March 13, 2022
Such aid - if Beijing were to agree - could have battlefield impact and would have China/Russia & US/NATO supporting opposing sides of the war.
Chinese leaders have little to gain from standing by Putin even as Putin loses, cannot risk involving themselves to any extent that would genuinely help Putin to win, and could themselves face unified international sanctions for even attempting it.China's only plausible move, according to that analysis, is to abandon Putin and attempt to limit the damage. The current attempts to remain vaguely neutral will only rebound more harshly on China as a desperate Putin attempts to escalate his conflict in an all-or-nothing bid to salvage his nation's stature—and his own skin.We can expect U.S. intelligence "leaks" to crop up quickly, if Chinese leaders give the go-ahead to Russia's new weapons requests. It won't go unnoticed. And that means that the United Nations and other nations are now putting China in a position where neutrality can't be faked. China will either provide the weapons or it will not. The nation's frustrated leaders can't stall for time much longer.
The Russian "strategy" of shelling urban centers in an apparent attempt to level what they cannot militarily capture, however, continues. And the civilian death toll is rising rapidly.
And this:Moschun (Мощун) village NW of Kyiv, before and after "denazification" by the Russian military https://t.co/k0n9pZhsQj almost every single house damaged or destroyed, inhabitants evicted https://t.co/yTGTZfFTAT pic.twitter.com/zMa0348gUq
— Samir (@obretix) March 13, 2022
American cities with populations comparable to Mariupol, which the Russians are pounding: Portland, Oregon. Oklahoma City. Fort Worth, Texas. Imagine these cities under attack & without food & water. https://t.co/3pvhniteGx
— Joyce Alene (@JoyceWhiteVance) March 13, 2022
There are multiple reports that Russian troops are going house to house in multiple Ukrainian villages and shooting civilians.
— John Aravosis 🇺🇸🇬🇷🏳️🌈 (@aravosis) March 14, 2022
Tens of thousands of volunteer soldiers are arriving in Ukraine to help:Vladimir Putin's tanks are firing on civilian apartment buildings in Ukraine.
— Josh Campbell (@joshscampbell) March 14, 2022
War crimes right before our very eyes. pic.twitter.com/HzIrYJhTsf
And the whole world is angry at Russia for what they are trying to do:Good news more than 200,000 Ukrainians have returned home after Russia began its offensive. Most returned home to defend Ukraine against Russia. That's an army. https://t.co/HJL4WiKLvD
— Anders Östlund (@andersostlund) March 12, 2022
What a wonderful idea. This and the Irish "Special Parking Operation" show how wonderful civil disobedience can be!!! https://t.co/iuLXWuqzKd
— seri luangphinith (@MsKaliMonster) March 14, 2022
The DO SOMETHING! crowd continues to bellow, however - NATO, the US and Canada are moving heaven and earth to get arms to Ukraine, but I still see comments deriding them for "doing nothing" because they refuse a No-Fly Zone. I can understand why Zelenskiy keeps asking for it, but here in the West I am starting to wonder if the NFZ complaint has become just another right-wing political talking point, somethingelse to criticize Biden and Trudeau over. Or do people here actually not understand that the West, while trying to save Ukraine, is also trying to prevent a nuclear war? We're not just playing a game of Risk here.Don’t make the terrible mistake of blaming ethnic Russians in America for the atrocities of the Russian nation. I’ve personally witnessed where that can lead, and I’ve sworn to help ensure it never happens again.
— George Takei (@GeorgeTakei) March 12, 2022
And finally, things do happen in other news too.Gen. McCaffrey says that he thinks a Russian General would take out Putin if he ordered "tactical" nuclear strikes. Maybe. Well, he hopes so, anyway. So, you know, it's nothing to worry our pretty little heads about.
— digby (@digby56) March 13, 2022
Not saying we won't get our hair mussed ...
And Trump keeps doing rallies and getting into the news again, and I hate it!I begrudge having to write this thing at all. But #FluTruxKlan ended & #WorldWar3 started & we never addressed the Canada-wide policing failure that enabled literally our slowest & stupidest people to capture our nation's capital & shut down our borders /4 https://t.co/q3Z4A2sC1V
— #SHIFT (@TheGentYYC) March 13, 2022
— Bobby (@LexingtonBobby) March 14, 2022It horrified me recently to realize that I am likely going to be hearing about Trump for the rest of my life! The only good thing about Trump is that he is so stupid - unlike Hitler, Trump himself doesn't know how to lead people nor get anything done, and he can never hire anyone competent either.
of all the realms we could have swam in, we got this one. there are realms where you can slice and eat fallen stars like apples, where you can steal pain with a kiss, or enter dreams through a blue door, but we got this one. this one, with its bread and its dirt, and its poems.
— tiny fairy tales✨ (@tinyfairytales) February 25, 2022
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