Map of the approximate situation in Ukraine as of 20:00 UTC 03/04/22.#UkraineCrisis #UkraineUnderAttack #Breaking #Kyiv #Kharkiv #Odesa #UkraineRussiaWar pic.twitter.com/ssf9JgpTGA
— Ukraine War Map (@War_Mapper) April 3, 2022
Here's a fascinating interactive piece from the New York Times describing why the Russian attempt to take Kyiv failed so badly:
And maybe their attempt in the south ultimately won't work either:Check out this article from The New York Times. Because I'm a subscriber, you'll be able to read it for free. https://t.co/rOjiDeMmLu
— Cathie from Canada ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ท๐ณ️๐ (@CathieCanada) April 4, 2022
All the Putin 12D chess theories aside, I've been reading a lot of mil analysts over the last month+ and I haven't seen a single one who thinks you'd plan a military campaign like the one Russia did if you were REALLY trying to capture Donbas and the Black Sea coast. Not one. https://t.co/dlcEjnPhog
— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) April 2, 2022
The entire Michael Kofman thread about Russian military preparedness is worth reading:Lots of debate about whether Putin’s words count or not. This๐งตis an example of how Putin’s public depiction of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as no big whoop constrains his ability to bolster his forces. The question is whether the public would support a general mobilization. https://t.co/9aundqKPjV
— Daniel W. Drezner (@dandrezner) April 3, 2022
The sadness and horror of the war crimes now known to have been committed by Russian soldiers in Bucha have shocked the world:Beyond the current battle in the Donbas, if this eventually becomes a prolonged war of attrition, Ukraine seems overall in a more favorable position, but I think the honest answer is 'it depends.' That's my unsatisfactory conclusion thus far.
— Michael Kofman (@KofmanMichael) April 3, 2022
The world will need to bite hard and deal with the reality that a great many Russians are committing WAR Crimes. When evidence becomes visible we will have to look at reality squarely in the eye. War Crimes are happening, because #Putin has many ferociously willing accomplices. pic.twitter.com/Kqh2MW5fsy
— Charles Adler (@charlesadler) April 3, 2022
After Bucha, I hope American CEOs still operating in Russia have a good explanation for that immoral decision to their shareholders. Because I dont.
— Michael McFaul (@McFaul) April 3, 2022
I remember in the 1970s thinking of the USSR as a harsh, oppressive, and impenetrable domain. Perestroika bade to change all that for a few decades. Now Russia has been plunged by its butchery of Ukraine into that darkness again, and will not re-emerge from it for many lifetimes. https://t.co/z8M3mvbZz8
— Armand D'Angour (@ArmandDAngour) April 4, 2022
At Daily Kos, Mark Sumner writes:Inside a mass grave in the Ukrainian town of Bucha, the bodies are piled on top of one another. Vladimir believes his brother is buried there, but the sad reality is he cannot know for sure — and might not for a very long time. https://t.co/02apZC6FF3
— CNN International (@cnni) April 4, 2022
As for claims now circulating on social media along the lines of “bad things always happen in war,” or “the United States has done bad things too” or “this happened in other countries and we ignored it “ or “this is just an excuse to get us more involved in Ukraine,” the only answer worth delivering is simply this: Fuck that....That bad things have happened in the past is no excuse for accepting them in the present. Even as the crimes being uncovered in Ukraine cannot help but generate anger and loathing, those emotions can’t overwhelm the need to prosecute the war itself in a way that seeks not just an end, the most humane outcome in an inhumane situation.Marching on Moscow, damn the nukes, full speed ahead, is no better an idea after seeing those bodies in the street than it was before.This is exactly the time to not go forward in malice, but with careful consideration and reasoned action. Hard as it might be to set aside anger and desire for vengeance, that has to be done because it remains the best way to reduce the threat of even more deaths, even more horrors.Ukraine must be given everything it needs to draw this war to a successful conclusion. The U.S. and other nations must act to see that such evil—on every scale—can never produce the desired outcome. The leaders of all these nations are as human as the rest of us, and like the rest of us they cannot help but see their own parents, siblings, friends, and children when they look at those bodies on the streets of Ukraine.The pressure on them to do the right thing is immense. None of them knows what that right thing is.Thank God that Joe Biden is president.
This tweet links to an amazing story from Der Spiegel about the month-long occupation of the town of Trostyanets, Ukraine:Everyone who understands English should read this. What it means to be occupied by Russian troops.
— Janne M. Korhonen ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ช๐บ๐๐บ๐ฆ (@jmkorhonen) April 2, 2022
This is why I for one have sworn to fight if they cross Finnish border. Some highlights below.https://t.co/xcJlRj58yA
An amazing story. And tonight Zelenskyy spoke to the Grammy ceremonies -- incredibly impressive that with everything he is dealing with, he and his staff maintain their positive approach and continue outreach to the millions of people around the world who are supporting them.Two men slowly walk toward each other in the frigid wind, before recognizing each other and embracing in tears. "You’re alive!?" More and more men and women are beginning to emerge and wander through their own city as though it was completely foreign to them. Some are weeping as they view the destruction – the half-demolished buildings and burned-out factories. Others are crying in relief – relief that they have survived....For the first time in a month, people were once again able to emerge last Sunday from their homes and basements in Trostyanets, finally able to believe that the nightmare had actually come to an end. The Russian troops had suddenly withdrawn on the last remaining passable road toward Russia on Friday afternoon – after having marched into this spa town of 20,000 residents in eastern Ukraine and occupied it on the very first day of the war.All telephones in town went dead, as did the cellular network, and walking through town had become a potentially deadly undertaking. Many simply waited at home, huddled in the candlelight as their rations slowly disappeared, not knowing what was happening in the rest of the country – or even just a couple hundred meters down the road....
Here is Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's pre-taped speech at the #Grammys, introducing a performance for Ukraine from John Legend: "Our musicians wear body armor instead of tuxedos. They sing to the wounded in hospitals." https://t.co/rjX2S54hkr pic.twitter.com/43fcZTrjQK
— Variety (@Variety) April 4, 2022
In other news -- I don't know if anyone else is trying to follow the Nova Scotia inquiry now going on into the Portapique killer from 2020, but journalist Tim Bousquet is covering it all for the Halifax Examiner - here's his most recent summary on what the Inquiry is revealing:This would not suprise me for this to be true . Ukrainian fighting spirit is paotrism at its finest. pic.twitter.com/83pXX60bVL
— I support Ukrainians (@denis_33333) April 3, 2022
A Tragedy of Errors: how RCMP mistakes, missteps, and miscommunications failed to contain a mass murderer https://t.co/eJho6qvXj9
— Tim Bousquet (@Tim_Bousquet) April 3, 2022
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