So in just the last 6 weeks, more than 5 million Ukrainians have had to refugee from their homes in Ukraine. There are already likely some military lessons to be learned from the Russia Ukraine War, but one lesson I think we also need to consider is the importance of getting civilians out of the way of war more quickly.
UPDATED!!! (4/15/2022)— Mapa de noticias (The News Map) (@mapadenoticias) April 15, 2022
MORE THAN FIVE MILLION HAVE LEFT UKRAINE!#Ukraine #UkraineUnderAttack
Ukraine Refugees Dashboard
👇👇👇 Click on the linkhttps://t.co/eyE68wj2hB pic.twitter.com/CUAF9vDbOZ
...For several weeks, residents of the capital dismissed the Russian buildup as posturing and the US warnings as overblown. Pulled between Zelensky’s calls on the West to refrain from creating a panic, Moscow’s denials of any intention to invade and the drumbeat of warnings from Western leaders on missions of shuttle diplomacy, Ukrainians went about their lives with admirable calm. Shops in the capital remained stocked, there was no run on the banks and there were no signs of panicked shopping for necessities.
Even as tensions boil with more than 150,000 Russian troops along the border in annexed Crimea and in neighbouring Belarus, just one in five Ukrainians think the full-scale conflict is inevitable.Only 20.4 percent of Ukrainians believe that a “full-scale invasion” will happen soon, and only 4.4 percent are adamant it is “definitely” taking place, according to a survey by the Gorshenin Institute, an independent pollster, conducted between February 2 and 14.A staggering 62.5 percent think the invasion is not going to happen “in the nearest future”....
This agony fits in with Putin’s goals. The siege is a military tactic popularized in medieval times and designed to crush a population through starvation and violence, allowing an attacking force to spare its own soldiers the cost of entering a hostile city. Instead, civilians are the ones left to die, slowly and painfully.Putin has refined the tactic during his years in power, first in the Chechen city of Grozny in 2000 and then in the Syrian city of Aleppo in 2016. He reduced both to ruins.
Irpin, #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/QXNuBpNGNK— Hanna Liubakova (@HannaLiubakova) April 16, 2022
Journalists need to figure out different language to describe what's happening in Ukraine. When Putin razes Mariupol to the ground, that's not a "victory"—it's an obscenity. Let's not normalize it by saying he's "winning." These are criminal acts on a vast scale.#StandWithUkraine— Richard Stengel (@stengel) April 17, 2022
In a post at Daily Kos, Markos explains the enormous steel plant property in Mariupol that is still in Ukraine control. Here's a tweet about the plant itself.
Before February I'd never heard of Mariupol. It's now become an unforgettable symbol of Ukrainian courage & Russian shame.— 🇺🇦 Andrew MacPherson (@Andrew__McP) April 17, 2022
Other cities have worn this symbol before, & it's shameful we let them slip into the history books without waking up. But Ukraine woke us up. At last.
This is Azovstal… if Russia doesn’t use gas they will never control Mariupol. It’s highly likely that before war Ukrainian collected food and ammunition in the tunnels. pic.twitter.com/gfZywsAdCn— Mauro Voerzio (@maurovoerzio) April 17, 2022
The Russian lies about Ukraine, its inability to see the truth, will be the seed of its defeat.
Complete defeat of Russia's armed forces is also a path toward ending this horrific war. But that is not the fastest path to peace. And Ukrainians, not outsiders, must decide what path to take. Both paths, however, require more & better weapons. So outside mission is clear 2/ END— Michael McFaul (@McFaul) April 18, 2022
Military twitter is excitedly posting tonight about how Ukraine is fighting back. The US and NATO are setting a blistering pace in delivering arms.
The willingness to lie outrageously to please the leader … I’m no longer surprised to see it in other countries, now that I’ve seen it in my own.— Will Saletan (@saletan) April 18, 2022
Its predictable in that ever since Putin lost his 'big' war, the total conquest and subjugation of Ukraine, he has been left trying to secure more limited objectives in the south and east. Basically take as much of the area of this map as possible. pic.twitter.com/vp0xFl1wWr— Phillips P. OBrien (@PhillipsPOBrien) April 17, 2022
This is a total of 10 stars (total experience of general and flag officers) killed in five weeks.— Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom) April 17, 2022
If this happened in the U.S. or NATO militaries, we would consider it a catastrophe. A monument to the unbelievably bad training and corrupt leadership of the Russian armed forces. https://t.co/1pDGyXyNkA
The Battle is Donbas seems to have started.— Dr Mike Martin ⛵️ (@ThreshedThought) April 17, 2022
But it’s the Ukrainians who have started it.
Like I said, Ukraine’s superior military culture is its key advantage over the Russian army.— Max Boot 🇺🇦 (@MaxBoot) April 17, 2022
In @PostOpinions: https://t.co/TnOPM1JyP5 https://t.co/FTTui4zavG
A number of indications tonight that the Russian offensive out of Izyum is struggling. https://t.co/LatwnVBWlK— Phillips P. OBrien (@PhillipsPOBrien) April 17, 2022
Finally tonight, I know Joe Biden and Justin Trudeau have been trying their best to keep NATO out of this war as a direct combatant against Russia, to avoid instigating a nuclear war.
Bazaliyaka (red marker) is on the road heading right to the crucial road systems from Belogorod to Izyum. This is opening up a possibly major problem for the Russian army. If this can be confirmed, its something to watch closely. pic.twitter.com/daowiNCO8e— Phillips P. OBrien (@PhillipsPOBrien) April 17, 2022
So maybe we have to start thinking about the unthinkable -- another example of hoping for the best but preparing for the worst.
It’s too embarrassing to admit losing to Ukraine, which they thought inferior. So now they’re claiming they’re up against all of NATO. https://t.co/8voncT3v5H— Markos Moulitsas (@markos) April 17, 2022
This was not a call to do nothing,But to consider other options such as an overwhelming conventional response. People seem keener than I would like to climb the nuclear ladder and I think it’s worth thinking about something else. That’s all.— Phillips P. OBrien (@PhillipsPOBrien) April 17, 2022
There are way too many people foaming at the mouth to escalate this conflict. I’ve seen people call for a full nuclear first strike on Moscow. It’s madness.— RkFast (@RkFast2) April 17, 2022
CG Jung (1/2): “The world hangs on a thin thread, and that is the psyche of man. Nowadays we are not threatened by elementary catastrophes. There is no such thing [in nature] as an H-bomb; that is all man's doing. WE are the great danger. The psyche is the great danger.”— Patrick Moran (@patrickjmoran) April 17, 2022
“It’s just a small nuke” is an assessment that takes into account only one aspect of consciousness (namely, the physical dimension of spacetime) and IGNORES the entire rest of the psyche.— Patrick Moran (@patrickjmoran) April 17, 2022
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